Solar radiation parameters for Bamenda, Cameroon [10].
Abstract
This chapter explores the different ways in which solar radiation (SR) can be quantified for use in photovoltaic applications. Some solar radiation models that incorporate different combinations of parameters are presented. The parameters mostly used include the clearness index (Kt), the sunshine fraction (SF), cloud cover (CC) and air mass (m). Some of the models are linear while others are nonlinear. These models will be developed for the estimation of the direct (Hb) and diffuse (Hd) components of global solar radiation (H) on both the horizontal and tilted surfaces. Models to determine the optimal tilt and azimuthal angles for solar photovoltaic (PV) collectors in terms of geographical parameters are equally presented. The applicable, statistical evaluation models that ascertain the validity of the SR mathematical models are also highlighted.
Keywords
- Global
- Direct
- Diffuse
- Solar Radiation
- Modelling
- Linear models
- Nonlinear models
- Least square method
- statistical evaluation models
1. Introduction
Solar radiation is essentially a flux of photons originating from the sun and radiating in all directions of space. These photons exhibit electromagnetic wave properties and travel at the speed of light over an average distance of about 149.4 million km to reach the earth’s surface while suffering diverse attenuations from the components of space and the earth’s atmosphere.
Many devices are being employed to measure SR but the scope of such measurements over space and time is limited. As a consequence, it is mandatory to develop alternative heuristic models to qualify and quantify solar radiation.
Data on global solar radiation (GSR) is readily available in most meteorological stations around the world but data on the diffuse and beam components of SR is rare and needs to be estimated by alternative means. Measurements of SR are mostly done on horizontal surfaces while real-time solar PV receivers require tilting from the horizontal position for optimal harvesting of the SR [1]. Information on both the direct and diffuse components of SR is necessary to accurately characterise the irradiance intercepting a solar collector or receiver.
GSR is short wavelength radiation that can characteristically be either broadband or spectral. From this premise, SR is modelled using either broadband or spectral models. Besides, satellite-based models have also been developed. The broadband models are suitable for ground-based measurements. A plethora of sub-models, with varying levels of complexity, now exist and will be presented in the subsections that follow.
The general trend over the past decades pioneering with the work of John K. Page [2], is the development of models which have been severally tested and improved upon. The common approach in the models is to predict either the diffuse and/or the direct SR components from measured GSR data. Alternatively, some models use meteorological parameters like temperature, sunshine hours and relative humidity, together with the GSR data to predict the direct or diffuse components.
Except in the subsection(s) where we treat the aspect of tilt angle, every occurrence of radiation henceforth will be considered to mean radiation measured (or predicted) regarding a horizontal surface.
To ascertain the accuracy of the models, some statistical tools for the evaluation of the models have been presented. These include the mean bias error (MBE), the root mean square error (RMSE) and t-statistics [3, 4, 5]. A. S. Angstrom [3] disclosed that these statistical tools collectively combine to establish the consistency of the models.
This chapter will be organised as follows: After this introduction, we will present in the next section the statistical tools applicable for testing of the model’s performance. This is followed in Section 3 by an exploration of the different approaches used in modelling solar radiation. Given that our emphasis is on photovoltaic technology, we present in the last section the modelling of tilt and azimuth angles in connection with solar photovoltaic energy applications. This is followed by the concluding remarks on the chapter.
2. Statistical evaluation methods for photovoltaic solar radiation models
The prediction efficiency of the models being presented in this chapter needs testing to ensure their validity and reliability. This is achieved using some statistical tools. These include: the mean bias error (MBE), the mean relative error (MRE), the root mean square error (RMSE) and the t-statistic (t-stat) error [5].
2.1 Mean bias error
The MBE is expressed as [6, 7]:
where xi is the ith observed value, yi the ith predicted value and k the total number of observations.
The mean bias error (MBE) is a pointer of the long-term performance of a correlation. This is achieved by calculating the real deviation between the predicted and measured values term wise. Ideally, an MBE value of zero is the best indicator. A positive MBE indicates an over-estimation while a negative MBE indicates under-estimation. Under practical conditions, vanishingly small MBE values are desirable for a good model’s performance.
2.2 Root mean square error (RMSE)
The RMSE is expressed as [5, 6, 7]:
The root mean square error (RMSE) is determinant for the short-term performance of a regression model. The RMSE estimates the differences between observed and predicted results of some quantity being modelled, which in this case is the solar radiation. RMSE is a good measure of precision and its value is always positive, representing zero in the ideal case [6].
2.3 Mean relative error
The mean relative error (MRE) tests the linearity between the measured and the estimated values. It is expressed in the form [8];
The MRE is always positive, approaching zero in the ideal case.
Each statistical assessment tool considered alone might not be a sufficient pointer of a model’s validity. It is likely to have a large RMSE value and at the same time a small MBE (a large scatter about the line of estimation). It is also possible to have a relatively small RMSE and a relatively large MBE (consistent over-estimation or underestimation).
Although these statistical indicators generally provide a reasonable tool for model performance, they do not objectively indicate whether the model’s estimates are statistically significant. An additional statistical indicator, the t-statistic can be used.
2.4 The t-statistical method
Stone [9] demonstrated that the MBE and the RMSE separately do not represent a reliable assessment of the model’s performance and can lead to the false selection of the best model from a set of candidates. To determine whether or not the equation estimates are statistically significant, Stone [9] proposed the t-stat expressed as:
T-stat values are always positive and vanishingly small values indicate a better model’s performance. The parameter, n, represents the numbers of observations and corresponds to the twelve months (n = 12) of the year if average monthly measurements are used. This statistical indicator compares models and at the same time indicates whether the model’s estimates are statistically significant at a particular confidence level [9, 10]. Consequently, the t-statistic is used in combination with the RMSE and MBE to give a more reliable prediction [11]. After the estimation of a coefficient, the t-statistic for that coefficient expresses the ratio of the coefficient to its standard error.
3. Approaches in solar radiation modelling
3.1 Introduction
Before reaching the earth’s surface, SR suffers some of the attenuations from air particles, aerosols, water vapour and clouds. This causes the GSR to be split into three components: the reflected, the direct (or beam) and the diffuse SR components.
Several forms of SR data exist, which could be used for a variety of purposes in the design and development of solar PV systems. Daily data is often available and hourly radiation data can be estimated from available daily data.
The monthly average daily extraterrestrial radiation on a horizontal surface is expressed as [12, 13]:
Here,
Where
The solar declination (δ), the mean sunshine hour angle for the month (
A calculation of these parameters for Bamenda (latitude 5.96°N and longitude 10.15°E) is presented in Table 1 below.
Parameter | Value |
---|---|
Average sunshine hours per day | 6.7 hours |
Solar constant, Isc | 1367Wm−2 |
Latitude of site, φ | 5.960N |
Longitude of site | 10.15°E |
Linear regression Constants a and b | 0.19 and 0.52 |
Declination, δ from (Eq. (7)) | 23.180 |
Sunshine hour angle, ωs from (Eq. (8)) | 92.560 |
Day length (mean sunshine hour), from (Eq. (9)) | 12.34 hours |
35.6068 MJ/m2/day | |
The estimated value of global solar radiation, H, for Bamenda for the month of June 2005 | 16.7756 MJ/m2/day |
The measured value of global solar radiation, H, for Bamenda for the month of June 2005 | 16.452 MJ/m2/day |
3.2 Modelling of the direct and diffuse components of solar radiation from GSR measurements, a.k.a. decomposition models
The input parameters for these models are diffuse ratio (K), the clearness index (Kt), the diffuse transmittance index (Kd), and the beam transmittance index (Kb). These parameters are expressed as follows: [18]
Where:
3.2.1 Models based on the diffuse ratio- clearness index regressions
The diffuse component of SR can be predicted using GSR data as initially done by Liu and Jordan [19]. The time scales used in this class of models range from monthly average to daily and hourly averages. For monthly average SR, John K. Page [2], estimated the monthly mean values of daily total short wave radiation on vertical and inclined surfaces from sunshine records for latitudes 40° N - 40° S. It consisted of a linear model relating K and
For the choice of time scale, some models relate the daily clearness index and daily diffuse SR ratio, for different geographical locations [18, 21, 22]. The approach here consists of developing a piece-wise fit between K and
For overcast skies, the regression equation is linear and expressed as.
Where
Other models assume a constant value of K in the event of overcast skies, i.e.:
In the situation of partly cloudy skies, a polynomial fit in
Lastly, for a clear sky situation, K takes a constant value, expressed as:
Instead of the piecewise regression as outlined above, a single polynomial regression equation can be chosen that can adequately fit the available data. A nonlinear empirical expression has also been used [23], and given as:
where, for the location of Macerata the constants take values: a = 0.154, b = 1.062 and c = 0.861.
It should be mentioned that seasonal models in which seasonal variations for daily regressions are treated exist [18, 20, 22].
The third variant consists of the models based on hourly SR measurements. Here the procedure of Liu and Jordan [19], is used with the exception that the correlation between K and
For the performance of these models, Figure 1 presents the correlation between the estimated and observed values of the monthly mean daily diffuse solar radiation using a twenty-year (1985–2005) monthly mean daily clearance index for the area of Yokadouma, Cameroon, (Latitude 3.15°, longitude 15.050° and at an altitude of 488 m) [15]. For this caption, the correlation equations are expressed in the linear and quadratic forms as: (
Figure 1 demonstrates a coefficient of determination between the estimated and the observed values close to one (0.92–0.99), which indicates an excellent agreement between the estimated and the observed diffuse fraction. Figure 2 further shows the correlation between the estimated and observed values of the diffuse fraction for the same location; Yokadouma. Even though the results of the different models follow the same trend, we notice that the predictions of Lealea T. et al. [15] are closest to the observed data. This suggests that these models are location-dependent, performing well in some locations and not in others.
An evaluation of these models based on the statistical indicators for Yokadouma, (Cameroon) is presented in Table 2.
The RMSE values here reveal that the model of Lealea T. et al. [15] is best for short-term performance. Meanwhile, the MBE and the RMSE cannot adequately account for the validity of a model, the t-statistics evaluation here indicates that the results of Lealea T. et al. [15] are the most statistically significant for the study location.
3.2.2 Correlation between diffuse transmittance index and clearness index regression
The hourly diffuse SR was predicted from measured hourly GSR on a horizontal surface by Iqbal [25]. It consisted of a correlation between the hourly diffuse transmittance index,
3.2.3 Correlation between direct transmittance index and clearness index regressions
This approach was spearheaded by Maxwell [26] in an attempt to improve the findings of several investigations which have shown that the use of a single regression function does not sufficiently portray the connection between direct beam transmittance (
Where
Hence Perez et al. [27] improved on the two main shortcomings related to the reliance of the clearness index on solar height and also its slow response to sudden changes in hourly sky conditions.
3.3 Prediction of diffuse solar radiation from the beam or direct component of solar radiation
3.3.1 ASHRAE model
The ASHRAE model considers only clear cloudless days [28]. It proceeds in two steps: the first consists of calculating the intensity of the direct normal solar radiation component and next it computes the hourly direct and diffuse solar radiation on both the horizontal and slanted surfaces. The model equations are:
where
Extensions of the ASHRAE model where the model coefficients were re-determined using cloudless data at different locations exist [29].
3.3.2 Regression models using the direct transmittance index and the diffuse transmittance index
These models are formulated using an empirical monthly regression equation between the ratio of the daily diffuse SR to the daily extraterrestrial radiation (
where, the constants a, band c, are monthly values of empirically determined coefficients. For the month of January at Beer Sheva: a = 0.2155, b = 3.1713 and c = −8.1261.
3.4 Prediction of solar radiation from meteorological input parameters
These models are formulated using the clearness index,
3.4.1 Prediction of solar radiation from the sunshine fraction
The first attempt that expresses SR in terms of the sunshine fraction is the linear equation [3]:
where a and b are the two constants, H is the monthly average daily SR,
As an extension of this equation and to improve the accuracy, the nonlinear polynomial models, were derived. This form is given as follows [7]:
The values of a, b, c and d, vary depending on location and month of observation. Their values may be affected by atmospheric air pollution. As the daily total amount of SR and sunshine duration vary widely, daily totals averaged over a month are used to derive the values of a, b, c and d. This can be done by the least square regression analysis.
These models have been very popular all the time because of the abundance of data on sunshine duration in most locations on earth. This eases the prediction of GSR even where measurements are absent. The mostly used equation is that proposed by John K. Page [2], expressed as:
where H and
To test these models, we present results for both the linear, the quadratic, and the third-degree polynomial models for the city of Bamenda in Cameroon whose parameters have been presented in Table 1.
3.4.2 Cloud cover radiation models (CRM)
For cloud cover radiation models, the choice parameters used are the monthly mean values of the fraction of the sky covered by clouds,
Where,
A linear model equation that correlates monthly average diffuse transmittance index,
Where
As an extension, several empirical models for the prediction of GSR from the daily mean of cloud cover, temperature extremes (minimum and maximum) and extraterrestrial SR have been proposed [33].
3.4.3 Models based on atmospheric transmittance (ATM)
Constituents that affect the transmittance of the atmosphere include scatterers, which consist of air molecules responsible for Rayleigh scattering, aerosols causing Mie scattering and absorbers like water vapour, atmospheric gases, dust and clouds. The atmospheric transmittance models attempt to establish some parametric relationships between these parameters. These models can either be classified as broadband or spectral based/ radiative transfer models [34].
3.4.3.1 Meteorological radiation model (MRM)
The most popular broadband ATM is the Meteorological Radiation Model (MRM). The input data for this model consist of the dry- and wet- bulb temperature and a sunshine fraction (used to generate hourly SR components for all-sky conditions like overcast and clear skies) [31].
The model equations for MRM in the case of non-overcast skies are given by
Where:
The proposed model exists for overcast skies where the diffuse irradiance is assumed to be equal to GSR [35]. Gueymard [36] proposed another similar model referred to as the Reference Evaluation of Solar Transmittance (REST). Though similar to the other models, the particularity of REST is that it introduces an additional transmittance term
3.4.3.2 Spectral models
The measurement of the solar spectrum is quite challenging necessitating models that can accurately provide the solar radiation incident at different parts of the earth’s surface.
Spectral models are particularly suitable for such applications that are prone to small changes in wavelength. These models are spurred on the one hand by the challenges encountered in measurements of the electromagnetic spectrum. On the other hand, there is a need for models capable of accurately reproducing the incident radiation at the earth’s surface. This aim is achieved by solving the radiative transfer equations as a function of the wavelength intervals as well as unit atmospheric layer intervals [37, 38]. The first of these models are the SPECTRAL and the Simple Model of the Atmospheric Radiative Transfer of Sunshine (SMARTS) developed by Bird [37]. The second is a modified version of SPECTRAL to SPECTRAL2 developed eventually by Bird and by Riordan [38]. These models apply simple mathematical expressions on tabulated look-up tables to generate the direct-normal and diffuse horizontal irradiance.
The SPECTRAL2 determines the beam component of solar radiation perpendicular to the earth surface for some wavelength λ through the equation:
Where for some given wavelength λ and for some mean earth-sun distance:
The parameter, D in (Eq. (32)) is expressed as
Where
Three components make up diffuse solar radiation on a horizontal surface. The first
Obtaining the spectral solar radiation on inclined surfaces is a straight forward process achieved by combining the spectral beam and diffuse radiation components calculations as presented above. The spectral global solar radiation on a slanted surface is then given by
where
The first term in (Eq. (36)), is the direct component on the inclined surface. The second term has two components: the first is circumsolar and the second is a diffuse component. The last term represents the radiation reflected from the earth surface which is distributed isotropically. A component that is missing from this model is the horizon-brightening radiation.
Gueymard [39] improved the SMARTS model to the SMARTS2. The spectral transmittance is expressed as a function of the processes responsible for radiation extinction in the atmosphere such as water vapour, Rayleigh scattering, uniformly mixed gases, absorption by ozone, aerosol extinction and Nitrogen dioxide. These functions are then used to calculate the beam component of the radiation in the shortwave range. Data obtained from spectroscopic measurements have been used to calculate coefficients for the extinction processes due to absorption by gases that depend on both temperature and pressure. The coefficient of absorption resulting from the dependence in temperature is captured in the modelling of the extinction caused by nitrogen dioxide, both in the visible and UV regions of the electromagnetic spectrum. The two-tier Angstrom methodology is used to compute the extinction resulting from absorption by aerosols. Data of visibility measured at the airport and further refined based on a prototype of the Shettle and Fenn [40] function is used to evaluate the turbidity effect of aerosols. A further improvement is introduced by expressing the wavelength exponent and some coefficients that characterise the individual aerosol components as a multivariable parametric function of the relative humidity and the wavelength. SMARTS2 is also equipped with an optional function that corrects the circumsolar radiation which together with two functions that smoothen and filter the spectral solar radiation equip it with the possibility to mimic real-time spectro-radiometers. As a result, confronting the results of modelling with observed data becomes easy. An initial evaluation of the validity of SMARTS2 revealed considerable agreement for the direct component of solar radiation obtained both from thorough and standard solar radiation schemes and from spectro-radiometric measurements. The possibility of incorporating into SMARTS2 the ability to estimate solar spectra under the canopy of clouds is further suggested in a later work by Gueymard et al. [41].
3.5 Satellite-based models
Geographical and climate parameters vary widely across the globe and consequently impute differences in the amount of SR intercepting the earth’s surface. To capture all these differences would require an infinite number of ground measuring stations. This difficulty is alleviated by the use of meteorological satellites which provide SR data over a wide geographical coverage with high spatial resolution. Models based on such data have been developed to take advantage of such ubiquitous data. The models range from: subjective, empirical (statistical and physical based), objective and theoretical (broadband and spectral) [42].
3.5.1 Subjective methods
Methods that involve some subjective interpretation of the satellite data fall under this category. For the method to provide some quantitative measure for solar radiation, it has to be associated with other methods. This method has been applied manually to estimate cloud cover from hard-copy images using a gridded overlay [43].
3.5.2 Empirical methods
Here functional relations are developed using simultaneous and co-located satellite and SR data. The methods permit some level of transferability in which the derived equations can be applied to other geographical locations, but as pointed out in [42], such a process may be uncertain due to the empirical parameters involved in the equations. In the subsequent development of these methods, two approaches are followed: the first is a statistical approach and the second is a physical approach.
The statistical approach relies upon choosing the independent variable merely based on their facility to capture the trend in the SR based on the geographical location of interest. In what follows, the physical-based approach will be prioritized and developed.
3.5.2.1 Physical based methods
These methods originate from an attempt to achieve a radiation balance between the earth and its surrounding atmosphere. A formulation presented in [42], expresses the balance as follows:
Where
Dividing by
where
where a and b are some empirical coefficients equal to 0.63 and −0.64, respectively [44].
It can be deduced from (Eq. (39)) that,
and
This results in average values of 0.37 and 0.36 for
Eq. (39) can be alternatively expressed in the form
If all the quantities in this equation are obtained from appropriate measurements, then
An alternative approach was followed in [45] to develop a model in which there is a very high correlation between the planetary albedo and the SR absorbed at the earth’s surface, thereby implying that the column integrated atmospheric absorption is highly conservative. On this basis, the model is expressed as:
Where it can be deduced from equation (Eq. (39)), that:
and
The conservative aspect of the regression parameters was revealed by using data from different geographical locations. This was further substantiated theoretically leading to the conclusion that even clouds cannot severely change the atmospheric absorption.
Other empirical models have been developed based on the radiation balance between the earth and its surrounding atmosphere [46, 47]. One approach followed in [48] and [49] consists of rearranging Eq. (39) in the form:
This equation can be rewritten in the form:
Where,
and
A comprehensive analysis in [50] and [51] led to expressing the parameters, a and b as multivariable functions given by:
where:
Cano et al. [52] developed a model that deviates from the previous ones and can serve as a transition between the empirical and theoretical models. In their approach, the cloudless sky albedo is computed iteratively by a procedure that minimizes the variance in the difference between the satellite inferred value of
In this approach,
Where
The atmospheric transmission was assumed to be a linear combination of the respective values for cloudless and overcast skies resulting in
In a similar regression model
with
and
According to Cano et al. [52], if data were stratified hourly, absolute values of the correlation coefficients are typically greater than 0.80, thereby supporting their use of the preceding model. Although the parameters, a and b could be calculated analytically, values were determined empirically. This is in line with the fact that the regression parameters also account for many other effects, including those resulting from the characteristic response of the satellite sensors.
3.5.3 Theoretical methods
These models endeavour to simulate explicitly solar radiant energy exchanges occurring between the earth and the atmosphere. Unlike the statistical counterpart, they do no incorporate an empirical calibration of the model parameters resulting in location free models. The models however need to be provided with additional environmental data which are time and location dependent. As a short cut to this limitation, climatological and standard atmosphere data are sometimes used, often without seriously impacting negatively on model performance.
Based on the degree of simplification and realism, two general classes of models can be distinguished: broadband models formulated based on the earth’s radiation balance and spectral models which rely on results generated by the solution of the radiative transfer equation.
3.5.3.1 Broadband models
One of the pioneers in this approach is Gautier et al. [53], who developed a model that has been widely used and makes it a reference for broadband models. In their model, the solar flux that exits the earth’s atmosphere and is measured by the satellite is given by:
By starting with a cloudless sky and minimizing the effects of multiple reflections down to first-order and assuming that scattering occurs before absorption, Gautier et al. rewrote Eq. (59) in terms of broadband absorption and scattering coefficients to give
The only unknown is the surface albedo,
A rearranged and expanded version of (Eq. (60)) was then used to express the solar irradiance at the earth’s surface (assuming cloudless skies) in terms of known variables
This model was revised by Diak and Gautier [54], where they included the effects of ozone absorption while Gautier and Frouin [55] also incorporated the effects of both aerosol and all orders of multiple reflections. Additional revisions investigated the consequences of ignoring spectral dependencies in both atmospheric attenuation and satellite radiometers.
Diak and Gautier [54] recognized that: (1) the Rayleigh scattering optical depth is wavelength dependent and therefore values of
Gautier et al. [53] revised and extended their model to include the effects of clouds by assuming a plane-parallel atmosphere composed of three layers. Thirty per cent of the water vapour and all the Rayleigh scattering were assumed confined to the top cloud layer. Similar procedures to those considered in the clear sky model provided estimates of the cloud top albedo (
Multiple reflections were not considered in the derivation of the following equation for the irradiance at the surface under overcast conditions [53]
We notice a striking similarity with (Eq. (62)) (for clear skies) except that the first order of multiple reflections was included in that formulation. Note also that to be consistent with the definition of
A revised equation for
Further attempts were made to approach reality in the parameterization of absorption by cloud, primarily to incorporate the occurrence of both finite and sub-field-of-view clouds. A decision to limit
Gautier and Frouin [55] upgraded their analysis to capture the effects of both aerosols and multiple reflections resulting in
Gautier et al. [53] have described the procedures for deciding whether to implement the clear or overcast sky routines when calculating
From the foundational investigations of Gautier et al. [53], other works have followed and revised their models to address some of the shortcomings associated with their approach such as the investigations in [56].
3.5.3.2 Spectral models
The conceptual basis for modelling SR by a spectral model of radiative transfer is best captured in the technique developed by Halpern [57]. The solution of the radiative transfer equation for an atmosphere tending to be absorbing and scattering requires some simplifying assumptions. Dave and Braslau [58] used a direct numerical solution of the spherical harmonics approximation for the axially symmetric but highly anisotropic phase functions which describe the scattering properties of liquid water drops (cloud) and aerosol. Halpern [57] used Dave and Braslau [58] results to construct tables of the downward ground-level flux and the upward flux at the top of the atmosphere. These initial attempts have been refined in two main aspects. The limitations imposed by the discrete nature of the Halpern approach are avoided, through the use of parameterizations based on data provided by explicit solutions of the radiative transfer equation for a wide range of atmospheric conditions. The algorithms are typically independent of conventional data sources, with all site and time-specific environmental data being abstracted from the digital imagery.
Moser and Raschke [59] also using a radiative transfer model developed the following parameterizations for several model atmospheres and a wide range of boundary conditions
The cloud height (
3.6 Classification and comparative study of the models
We summarise here the models presented in the previous sections aiming to show the interrelationship amongst the models and the input and output parameters of each (Table 3).
Model | References | Input parameters | Output parameters | Linearity |
---|---|---|---|---|
Models based on the diffuse ratio- clearness index regressions | [2, 15, 18, 19, 20] | Clearness index (Kt) | Diffuse ratio (K) | Linear and Nonlinear |
Models based on diffuse transmittance index and clearness index regression | [25] | Hourly clearness index, | Hourly diffuse transmittance index, | Linear |
Models based on direct transmittance index and clearness index | [26, 27]. | Clearness Index ( | Direct beam transmittance ( | Nonlinear |
ASHRAE model | [28, 29] | Zenith angle, | Diffuse radiation, Hd | Nonlinear |
Models using the direct transmittance index and the diffuse transmittance index | [30] | Diffuse transmittance index (Kd) | Beam transmittance index ( | Nonlinear |
Models based on the sunshine fraction | [2, 3, 10] | Solar fraction, S/S0 | Clearness Index ( | Linear and Nonlinear |
Cloud cover radiation models (CRM) | [32, 33] | Monthly average daily cloud cover ( | Monthly average diffuse transmittance index, | Linear |
Meteorological Radiation Model (MRM) | [31, 35, 36] | SF, | Nonlinear |
3.6.1 Classification of the models
See Figure 5.
3.6.2 Comparative study of the models
4. Tilt and azimuth angles in solar photovoltaics energy applications
4.1 Introduction
The aims in this section is to present the optimum tilt angles calculation methods required for the optimal and best design of solar PV systems. Some techniques applicable for solar tilt calculations have been elaborated in [61, 62]. Some valuable excerpts from these references are considered in this section.
4.2 Optimal tilt angles for global solar radiation components
Like on horizontal surfaces, the total daily radiation falling on tilted surfaces (
These three components are respectively related to direct, diffuse and total radiation on horizontal surfaces through the three expressions
The calculation of the direct and diffuse components of GSR needed for the estimation of GSR on slanted surfaces was well elaborated in subSection 3.1.
In terms of the albedo,
Here
Where
For surfaces in the southern hemisphere sloped towards the equator, the equations are [61, 65]:
It is possible to alternatively estimate
Where
if
else
Where,
4.3 Diffuse radiation models on tilted surfaces
Both isotropic and anisotropic models exist for estimating the ratio of diffuse SR on a tilted surface to that on a horizontal surface. The isotropic models assume the intensity of diffuse sky radiation to be uniform over the skydome. As a consequence, the diffuse radiation incident on a tilted surface is a function of the fraction of the skydome it sees. The anisotropic models on the other hand assume the anisotropy of the diffuse sky radiation in the circumsolar region (portion of sky near the solar disk) plus and isotropically distributed diffuse component from the rest of the skydome. Some of these models are summarised in Table 4.
4.4 Optimization of Tilt angle techniques
For PV modules to furnish maximum output power, there is a need to optimize the tilt angle. We present here (Table 5) a non-exhaustive summary of some optimal tilt angle equations while the details are obtainable from the indicated references. Taking into consideration the functional relationship of the solar declination,
Reference | Optimum Tilt Angle expressed in terms of altitude |
---|---|
Isotropic models | |
[65] | |
[67] | |
[68] | |
[24] | |
Anisotropic models | |
[69] | |
[70] | Where |
[71] | |
[72] | |
[73] | Where, |
Reference | Location | Optimum tilt angle equation | Optimum tilt angle | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Interval | Data | |||
[74] | Romania | / | / | |
[75] | Ghana | Monthly | ||
Yearly | ||||
[76] | Brisbane, Australia | NA | Yearly | |
[77] | Abu Dhabi, UAE | NA | Monthly | June |
[78] | 8 provinces of Turkey | Monthly | 0° (June) and 65° (December) | |
Seasonally | 21.17° (spring), 5.67° (summer), 46.48° (autumn), 57.29° (winter) | |||
[79] | Ontario, Canada | Yearly | ||
Ottawa, Canada | Yearly | |||
Toronto, Canada | Yearly | |||
[80] | United States | Yearly | Optimum orientation (Tilt/Azimuth) Orlando, FL, Los Angeles, CA, | |
[81] | Zahedan, Iran | Bi-Annual | ||
[82] | Madinah, Saudi Arabia | Monthly | ||
Seasonally | ||||
Yearly | ||||
[83] | New Delhi, India | Summer; Winter; | Seasonally | Summer; Winter; |
5. Conclusion
In this chapter, we have presented the different models of SR geared towards photovoltaic applications. Solar radiation models can be distinguished based on the type of measurement of input data used. Based on this we have models that use ground measured data and models that use satellite measured data. These models can be further sub-classified as either broadband or spectral models according as they are based on the earth’s radiation balance or on results generated by the solution of the radiative transfer equation. The baseline objective of the SR models presented is to predict the three components of GSR (the beam, the diffuse and the reflected components) incident on some PV collector surface at the ground level. Consequently, in the models presented, careful attention was given to show how we could quantify these three components. Results for some geographical locations have been given to show the correlation of equations for the models based on the diffuse ratio- clearness index regressions as well as for those based on sunshine fraction.
The broadband models were prioritized in the presentation given the ubiquitous occurrence of the input data for such models. Space restrictions conditioned the presentation of the models to be summarised to the strict minimum so our readers are encouraged to consult the cited literature in addition. A comparison of the models has been presented to highlight the input and the output parameters. In addition, a flow chart to show the interrelatedness of the models has been presented.
The approaches for getting the optimal tilt and azimuthal angles of the PV panel are summarized. Based on literature sources, the optimal tilt angles for some global geographical locations have been presented.
The statistical procedures to ascertain the validity of the regression analyses are summarily treated and applied in some cases where results have been presented.
We expect this chapter to be a valuable tool for scientist and engineers specialized in solar PV research and applications.
Acknowledgments
The authors wish to acknowledge the Cameroon Ministry of Higher Education for financing this research through the research allowance paid to all its staff of Higher Education in Cameroon.
References
- 1.
M. Bortolini, M. Gamberi, A. Graziani, R. Manzini, and C. Mora, “Multi-location model for the estimation of the horizontal daily diffuse fraction of solar radiation in Europe,” Energy Conversion and Management, vol. 67, pp. 208-216, 2013. - 2.
J. K. Page, “The estimation of monthly mean values of daily total shortwave radiation on vertical and inclined surfaces from sunshine records for latitudes 40° N-40° S,” Proc. UN Conf. New Sources Energy, Conference Proceeding vol. 4, no. null, p. 378, 1961. - 3.
A. Angstrom, “Solar and terrestrial radiation. Report to the international commission for solar research on actinometric investigations of solar and atmospheric radiation,” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol. 50, no. 210, pp. 121-126, 1924. - 4.
K. Mehmet, “Estimation of global solar radiation on horizontal surface in Erzincan, Turkey,” International Journal of Physical Sciences, vol. 7, no. 33, pp. 5273-5280, 2012. - 5.
A. David, E. Joseph, N. R. Ngwa, and N. A. Arreyndip, “Global Solar Radiation of some Regions of Cameroon using the Linear Angstrom Model and Non-linear Polynomial Relations: Part 2, Sun-path Diagrams, Energy Potential Predictions and Statistical Validation,” International Journal of Renewable Energy Research (IJRER), vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 649-660, 2018. - 6.
C. Ma and M. Iqbal, “Statistical comparison of solar radiation correlations Monthly average global and diffuse radiation on horizontal surfaces,” Solar Energy, vol. 33, no. 2, pp. 143-148, 1984. - 7.
M. Tiris, C. Tiris, and I. Türe, “Correlations of monthly-average daily global, diffuse and beam radiations with hours of bright sunshine in Gebze, Turkey,” Energy Conversion and Management, vol. 37, no. 9, pp. 1417-1421, 1996. - 8.
H. Bulut and O. Büyükalaca, “Simple model for the generation of daily global solar-radiation data in Turkey,” Applied Energy, vol. 84, no. 5, pp. 477-491, 2007. - 9.
R. Stone, “Improved statistical procedure for the evaluation of solar radiation estimation models,” Solar energy, vol. 51, no. 4, pp. 289-291, 1993. - 10.
A. David and N. R. Ngwa, “Global Solar Radiation of some regions of Cameroon using the linear Angstrom and non-linear polynomial relations (Part I) model development,” International Journal of Renewable Energy Research (IJRER), vol. 3, no. 4, pp. 984-992, 2013. - 11.
I. T. Toğrul and H. Toğrul, “Global solar radiation over Turkey: comparison of predicted and measured data,” Renewable Energy, vol. 25, no. 1, pp. 55-67, 2002. - 12.
M. Iqbal, “Correlation of average diffuse and beam radiation with hours of bright sunshine,” Solar Energy, vol. 23, no. 2, pp. 169-173, 1979. - 13.
A. Kilic and A. Ozturk, “Solar Energy,” ed: Kipas Publishing Inc, 1983. - 14.
M. Iqbal, An Introduction To Solar Radiation . Elsevier Science, 2012. - 15.
T. Lealea and R. Tchinda, “Estimation of diffuse solar radiation in the South of Cameroon,” Journal of Energy Technologies and Policy, vol. 3, no. 6, pp. 32-42, 2013. - 16.
P. Cooper, “The absorption of radiation in solar stills,” Solar energy, vol. 12, no. 3, pp. 333-346, 1969. - 17.
J. A. Duffie and W. A. Beckman, Solar Engineering of Thermal Processes (null). 1991, p. null. - 18.
S. E. Tuller, “Relationship between diffuse, total, and extraterrestrial solar radiation,” Sol. Energy;(United States), vol. 18, no. 3, 1976. - 19.
B. Y. Liu and R. C. Jordan, “The interrelationship and characteristic distribution of direct, diffuse and total solar radiation,” Solar energy, vol. 4, no. 3, pp. 1-19, 1960. - 20.
D. Erbs, S. Klein, and J. Duffie, “Estimation of the diffuse radiation fraction for hourly, daily and monthly-average global radiation,” Solar energy, vol. 28, no. 4, pp. 293-302, 1982. - 21.
G. Stanhill, “Diffuse sky and cloud radiation in Israel,” Solar Energy, vol. 10, no. 2, pp. 96-101, 1966. - 22.
C. N. Rao, W. A. Bradley, and T. Y. Lee, “The diffuse component of the daily global solar irradiation at Corvallis, Oregon (USA),” Solar Energy, vol. 32, no. 5, pp. 637-641, 1984. - 23.
B. Bartoli, V. Cuomo, U. Amato, G. Barone, and P. Mattarelli, “Diffuse and beam components of daily global radiation in Genova and Macerata,” Solar Energy, vol. 28, no. 4, pp. 307-311, 1982. - 24.
B. Liu and R. Jordan, “Daily insolation on surfaces tilted towards equator,” ASHRAE J.;(United States), vol. 10, 1961. - 25.
M. Iqbal, “Prediction of hourly diffuse solar radiation from measured hourly global radiation on a horizontal surface,” Solar energy, vol. 24, no. 5, pp. 491-503, 1980. - 26.
E. L. Maxwell, “A quasi-physical model for converting hourly global horizontal to direct normal insolation,” qpmc, 1987. - 27.
R. Perez, P. Ineichen, R. Seals, and A. Zelenka, “Making full use of the clearness index for parameterizing hourly insolation conditions,” Solar Energy, vol. 45, no. 2, pp. 111-114, 1990. - 28.
A. S. o. H. R. a. A. c. Engineers and (ASHRAE), “Handbook of Fundamentals,” ed, 1972, pp. 385-443. - 29.
N. Nijegorodov, “Improved ASHRAE model to predict hourly and daily solar radiation components in Botswana, Namibia, and Zimbabwe,” Renewable energy, vol. 9, no. 1-4, pp. 1270-1273, 1996. - 30.
A. Ianetz, V. Lyubansky, E. Evseev, and A. Kudish, “Regression equations for determining the daily diffuse radiation as a function of daily beam radiation on a horizontal surface in the semi-arid Negev region of Israel,” Theoretical and applied climatology, vol. 69, no. 3-4, pp. 213-220, 2001. - 31.
M. S. Gul, T. Muneer, and H. D. Kambezidis, “Models for obtaining solar radiation from other meteorological data,” Solar Energy, vol. 64, no. 1-3, pp. 99-108, 1998. - 32.
M. Bashahu, “Statistical comparison of models for estimating the monthly average daily diffuse radiation at a subtropical African site,” Solar Energy, vol. 75, no. 1, pp. 43-51, 2003. - 33.
M. El-Metwally, “Simple new methods to estimate global solar radiation based on meteorological data in Egypt,” Atmospheric Research, vol. 69, no. 3-4, pp. 217-239, 2004. - 34.
C. Gueymard, “An atmospheric transmittance model for the calculation of the clear sky beam, diffuse and global photosynthetically active radiation,” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, vol. 45, no. 3, pp. 215-229, 1989/03/01/ 1989. - 35.
M. Gul and T. Muneer, “Solar diffuse irradiance: estimation using air mass and precipitable water data,” Building Services Engineering Research and Technology, vol. 19, no. 2, pp. 79-85, 1998. - 36.
C. A. Gueymard, “Direct solar transmittance and irradiance predictions with broadband models. Part I: detailed theoretical performance assessment,” Solar Energy, vol. 74, no. 5, pp. 355-379, 2003. - 37.
R. E. Bird, “A simple, solar spectral model for direct-normal and diffuse horizontal irradiance,” Solar energy, vol. 32, no. 4, pp. 461-471, 1984. - 38.
R. E. Bird and C. Riordan, “Simple solar spectral model for direct and diffuse irradiance on horizontal and tilted planes at the earth’s surface for cloudless atmospheres,” Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, vol. 25, no. 1, pp. 87-97, 1986. - 39.
C. A. Gueymard, “Parameterized transmittance model for direct beam and circumsolar spectral irradiance,” Solar Energy, vol. 71, no. 5, pp. 325-346, 2001. - 40.
E. Shettle and R. Fenn, “Models for the aerosols of the lower atmosphere and the effects of humidity variations on their optical properties. Air Force Geophysical Laboratory Tech. Rep,” Environmental Research Papers, vol. 676, p. 94, 1979. - 41.
C. A. Gueymard and H. D. Kambezidis, “Solar Spectral Radiation,” in Solar Radiation and Daylight Models , T. Muneer, Ed. First 1997 ed.: Oxford: Elsevier., 2004. - 42.
J. E. Hay, “Satellite based estimates of solar irradiance at the earth’s surface—I. Modelling approaches,” Renewable Energy, vol. 3, no. 4-5, pp. 381-393, 1993. - 43.
G. L. Powell, A. J. Brazel, and M. J. Pasqualetti, “New approach to estimating solar radiation from satellite imagery,” The Professional Geographer, vol. 36, no. 2, pp. 227-233, 1984. - 44.
S. Fritz, P. K. Rao, and M. Weinstein, “Satellite measurements of reflected solar energy and the energy received at the ground,” Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, vol. 21, no. 2, pp. 141-151, 1964. - 45.
V. Ramanathan, “Scientific use of surface radiation budget data for climate studies,” in “Surface radiation budget for climate application,” 1986, vol. 1169. - 46.
K. J. Hanson, “Studies of cloud and satellite parameterization of solar irradiance at the earth’s surface,” National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Miami, Fla.(USA). Atlantic …1971. - 47.
J. Ellis and T. Vonder Haar, “Application of meteorological satellite visible channel radiances for determining solar radiation reaching the ground,” presented at the Conference on Aerospace and Aeronautical Meteorology, 7th, and Symposium on Remote Sensing from Satellites Melbourne, Fla, November 16-19, 1976, 1977. - 48.
J. E. Hay and K. J. Hanson, “A satellite-based methodology for determining solar irradiance at the ocean surface during GATE,” Bull. Amer. Meteor. Sci., vol. 59, p. 1549, 1978. - 49.
C. Sorapipatana and R. Exell, “An operational system for mapping global solar radiation from GMS satellite data,” ASEAN Journal on Science and Technology for Development, vol. 5, no. 2, pp. 79-100, 1988. - 50.
M. Nunez, “Use of satellite data in regional mapping of solar radiation,” in Szokology, SV, Solar World Congress , 1983, vol. 4. - 51.
M. Nunez, T. Hart, and J. Kalma, “Estimating solar radiation in a tropical environment using satellite data,” Journal of climatology, vol. 4, no. 6, pp. 573-585, 1984. - 52.
D. Cano, J.-M. Monget, M. Albuisson, H. Guillard, N. Regas, and L. Wald, “A method for the determination of the global solar radiation from meteorological satellite data,” Solar energy, vol. 37, no. 1, pp. 31-39, 1986. - 53.
C. Gautier, G. Diak, and S. Masse, “A simple physical model to estimate incident solar radiation at the surface from GOES satellite data,” Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, vol. 19, no. 8, pp. 1005-1012, 1980. - 54.
G. R. Diak and C. Gautier, “Improvements to a simple physical model for estimating insolation from GOES data,” Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology, vol. 22, no. 3, pp. 505-508, 1983. - 55.
C. Gautier and R. Frouin, “Satellite-derived ocean surface radiation fluxes,” Advances in Remote Sensing Retrieval Methods, pp. 311-329, 1985. - 56.
R. Pinker and I. Laszlo, “A modified insolation model for satellite observations,” J. Appl. Meteorol, 1990. - 57.
P. Halpern, “Ground level solar energy estimates using geostationary operational environmental satellite measurements and realistic model atmospheres,” Remote sensing of environment, vol. 15, no. 1, pp. 47-61, 1984. - 58.
J. Dave and N. Braslau, “Effect of cloudiness on the transfer of solar energy through realistic model atmospheres,” Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, vol. 14, no. 3, pp. 388-395, 1975. - 59.
W. Möser and E. Raschke, “Incident solar radiation over Europe estimated from METEOSAT data,” Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, vol. 23, no. 1, pp. 166-170, 1984. - 60.
S. Munawwar, “Modelling hourly and daily diffuse solar radiation using world-wide database,” Napier University, 2006. - 61.
A. Hafez, A. Soliman, K. El-Metwally, and I. Ismail, “Tilt and azimuth angles in solar energy applications–A review,” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, vol. 77, pp. 147-168, 2017. - 62.
G. A. Kamali, I. Moradi, and A. Khalili, “Estimating solar radiation on tilted surfaces with various orientations: a study case in Karaj (Iran),” Theoretical and applied climatology, vol. 84, no. 4, pp. 235-241, 2006. - 63.
C. Toledo, A. M. Gracia Amillo, G. Bardizza, J. Abad, and A. Urbina, “Evaluation of solar radiation transposition models for passive energy management and building integrated photovoltaics,” Energies, vol. 13, no. 3, p. 702, 2020. - 64.
M. Hartner, A. Ortner, A. Hiesl, and R. Haas, “East to west–The optimal tilt angle and orientation of photovoltaic panels from an electricity system perspective,” Applied Energy, vol. 160, pp. 94-107, 2015. - 65.
V. Badescu, “A new kind of cloudy sky model to compute instantaneous values of diffuse and global solar irradiance,” Theoretical and Applied Climatology, vol. 72, no. 1-2, pp. 127-136, 2002. - 66.
P. Andersen, “Comments on``Calculations of monthly average insolation on tilted surfaces''by SA Klein,” SoEn, vol. 25, no. 3, p. 287, 1980. - 67.
Y. Tian, R. Davies-Colley, P. Gong, and B. Thorrold, “Estimating solar radiation on slopes of arbitrary aspect,” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, vol. 109, no. 1, pp. 67-74, 2001. - 68.
P. S. Koronakis, “On the choice of the angle of tilt for south facing solar collectors in the Athens basin area,” Solar Energy, vol. 36, no. 3, pp. 217-225, 1986. - 69.
D. Reindl, W. Beckman, and J. Duffie, “Evaluation of hourly tilted surface radiation models,” Solar energy, vol. 45, no. 1, pp. 9-17, 1990. - 70.
A. Skartveit and J. A. Olseth, “Modelling slope irradiance at high latitudes,” Solar energy, vol. 36, no. 4, pp. 333-344, 1986. - 71.
M. Steven and M. H. Unsworth, “The angular distribution and interception of diffuse solar radiation below overcast skies,” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol. 106, no. 447, pp. 57-61, 1980. - 72.
J. E. Hay, “Calculation of monthly mean solar radiation for horizontal and inclined surfaces,” Solar energy, vol. 23, no. 4, pp. 301-307, 1979. - 73.
T. M. Klucher, “Evaluation of models to predict insolation on tilted surfaces,” Solar energy, vol. 23, no. 2, pp. 111-114, 1979. - 74.
C. Stanciu and D. Stanciu, “Optimum tilt angle for flat plate collectors all over the World–A declination dependence formula and comparisons of three solar radiation models,” Energy Conversion and Management, vol. 81, pp. 133-143, 2014. - 75.
F. A. Uba and E. A. Sarsah, “Optimization of tilt angle for solar collectors in WA, Ghana,” Pelagia Research Library, Advances in Applied Science Research, vol. 4, no. 4, pp. 108-114, 2013. - 76.
R. Yan, T. K. Saha, P. Meredith, and S. Goodwin, “Analysis of yearlong performance of differently tilted photovoltaic systems in Brisbane, Australia,” Energy conversion and management, vol. 74, pp. 102-108, 2013. - 77.
F. Jafarkazemi and S. A. Saadabadi, “Optimum tilt angle and orientation of solar surfaces in Abu Dhabi, UAE,” Renewable energy, vol. 56, pp. 44-49, 2013. - 78.
K. Bakirci, “General models for optimum tilt angles of solar panels: Turkey case study,” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, vol. 16, no. 8, pp. 6149-6159, 2012. - 79.
I. H. Rowlands, B. P. Kemery, and I. Beausoleil-Morrison, “Optimal solar-PV tilt angle and azimuth: An Ontario (Canada) case-study,” Energy Policy, vol. 39, no. 3, pp. 1397-1409, 2011. - 80.
M. Lave and J. Kleissl, “Optimum fixed orientations and benefits of tracking for capturing solar radiation in the continental United States,” Renewable Energy, vol. 36, no. 3, pp. 1145-1152, 2011. - 81.
H. Moghadam, F. F. Tabrizi, and A. Z. Sharak, “Optimization of solar flat collector inclination,” Desalination, vol. 265, no. 1-3, pp. 107-111, 2011. - 82.
M. Benghanem, “Optimization of tilt angle for solar panel: Case study for Madinah, Saudi Arabia,” Applied Energy, vol. 88, no. 4, pp. 1427-1433, 2011. - 83.
M. Jamil Ahmad and G. N Tiwari, “Optimization of tilt angle for solar collector to receive maximum radiation,” The open renewable energy journal, vol. 2, no. 1, 2009.