Open access peer-reviewed Edited Volume

Forecasting in Mathematics

Andrey Kostogryzov

Russian Academy of Sciences

Member of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences, Russian Academy of Informatization in Education, an author of more than 100 mathematical models for analyzing and optimizing quality and risks, and more than 210 scientific works, including 20 books. Dr. Kostogryzov is the winner of the Research Award from the Russian President for Scientific School in system quality and safety (2004-2005) and the Award of the Government of the Russian Federation in the Field of Science and Engineering (2015).


Risk Analysis Counteraction Measures Industrial System Transport System Cosmic System Monitoring Control Rationale Preventive Action Forecasting Social Process

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About the book

Objects for researching are systems, products, or services in conditions of uncertainties in their life cycles. The forecasting in mathematics is understood at the level of possible successes or failures during the given prognostic period. The main idea of the book is to explain for the reader the essence of mathematical forecasting, effects in practice, and interpretation of the results of modeling. Readers should see: mathematicians try to trace system purpose achievement, to connect the concept of success with achieved effectiveness, with properties of reliability, safety, other critical system properties. It should be useful for preventing a loss of benefit and wasted expenses and unforeseen damages.
Indeed for this, the various mathematical models and methods applicable to different systems and processes are invited.

The content is structured by the topics: General Mathematical Propositions for Forecasting and Solving the Problems of Analysis, Optimization and Extracting Effects (1), Risk Analysis. Effective Use of Opportunities and Reliable Counteractions against Threats and Damages (for Industrial Systems, Natural Hazards and Events, Transport and Cosmic Systems) (2), Forecasting for Information Systems, Processes, and Artificial Intelligence. Making Decisions and Knowledge Management (3), Monitoring, Control and Rationale of Preventive Actions by Forecasting (4), Forecasting for Social Processes (5).

The book is planned for systems analysts which can be customers, designers, developers, users, experts, as well as for staff of quality, risk, safety, and security management, and, of course, for scientists, researchers, and students. It is expected the proposed models and methods will be applicable in the system life cycle to study system operation, explain and optimize system requirements, rationale technical decisions, predict and analyze quality, risks, and effects, compare different processes, adjust technological parameters of systems, including embedded “real-time” forecasting, etc.
The examples of purposeful essential improvement of quality, safety, effectiveness, and mitigation of risks, and decrease expenses for created and operating systems are expected.

The book should be focused also on education in system analysis and modeling. The specializations «System engineering», «Operations research», "Enterprise management", «Project management», «Risk management», «Quality of systems», "Safety and security", “Smart systems”, “System of systems” are expected to be covered.

Publishing process

Book initiated and editor appointed

Date completed: October 1st 2021

Applications to edit the book are assessed and a suitable editor is selected, at which point the process begins.

Chapter proposals submitted and reviewed

Deadline for chapter proposals: October 29th 2021

Potential authors submit chapter proposals ready for review by the academic editor and our publishing review team.

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Approved chapters written in full and submitted

Deadline for full chapters: January 23rd 2022

Once approved by the academic editor and publishing review team, chapters are written and submitted according to pre-agreed parameters

Full chapters peer reviewed

Review results due: April 13th 2022

Full chapter manuscripts are screened for plagiarism and undergo a Main Editor Peer Review. Results are sent to authors within 30 days of submission, with suggestions for rounds of revisions.

Book compiled, published and promoted

Expected publication date: June 12th 2022

All chapters are copy-checked and typesetted before being published. IntechOpen regularly submits its books to major databases for evaluation and coverage, including the Clarivate Analytics Book Citation Index in the Web of ScienceTM Core Collection. Other discipline-specific databases are also targeted, such as Web of Science's BIOSIS Previews.

About the editor

Andrey Kostogryzov

Russian Academy of Sciences

Andrey Kostogryzov (1957.05.16) – Chief Researcher of the Federal Research Center 'Computer Science and Control” of the Russian Academy of Sciences (Moscow, Russia), Director and Scientific Leader of the Research Institute of Applied Mathematics and Certification. Honored Science Worker of the Russian Federation, Dr. of Engineering Science, Professor, Corresponding Member of the Russian Academy of Rockets and Artillery Sciences. The Winner of the Award of the Government of the Russian Federation in the Field of Science and Engineering. Deputy Chairman of the Committee "Business Sequrity " and Chairman of SC 'Information Technologies” of the Committee "Industrial Safety” of the Chamber of Commerce and Industry of the Russian Federation. Deputy Chairman of the National TC 'Information Technologies”, Chairman of SC 'System and Software Engineering”. The mamber of the Commission on Technogenic Safety of the Russian Academy of Sciences. Certified Expert of the Russian Academy of Sciences, the Ministry of Education of the Russian Federation, PJSC Gazprom. The author of more than 100 mathematical models for analyzing and optimizing quality and risks and more than 210 scientific works, including 20 books

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Book chapters authored 2

Books edited 2

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As an Author Service Manager my responsibilities include monitoring and facilitating all publishing activities for authors and editors. From chapter submission and review, to approval and revision, copyediting and design, until final publication, I work closely with authors and editors to ensure a simple and easy publishing process. I maintain constant and effective communication with authors, editors and reviewers, which allows for a level of personal support that enables contributors to fully commit and concentrate on the chapters they are writing, editing, or reviewing. I assist authors in the preparation of their full chapter submissions and track important deadlines and ensure they are met. I help to coordinate internal processes such as linguistic review, and monitor the technical aspects of the process. As an ASM I am also involved in the acquisition of editors. Whether that be identifying an exceptional author and proposing an editorship collaboration, or contacting researchers who would like the opportunity to work with IntechOpen, I establish and help manage author and editor acquisition and contact.

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