## 1. Introduction

For many centuries to date, wind energy has been used as a source of power for a whole host of purposes. In early days it was used for sailing, irrigation, grain grinding, etc. At the onset of the 20^{th} century, wind energy was put to work on a different use: power generation and electricity-generating wind turbines were produced.

Wind turbines do convert the wind renewable energy into electricity, thus becoming a clean and sustainable power generation alternative. There is a large number and wide assortment of wind turbines which, over time, have evolved in its two key areas: capacity and efficiency. The evolution of wind turbines has been boosted thanks to the growing awareness on environmental issues which in turn stems from an equally growing concern over conventional fossil fuel energy sources. Furthermore, high oil prices and other financial incentives are also bearing their respective weights on the issue. Large scale wind turbines in the range 4 to 10 MW are now being developed and used for equipping large-scale wind farms worldwide.

The power developed with wind generators depends on several factors with the noteworthy ones being the height above the ground level, the humidity rating and the geographic features of the area but the chief factor is the wind speed. Therefore, the first step in ascertaining the energy that can be produced and the effects of a wind farm on the overall electricity network calls for a thorough understanding of wind itself.

There are different methods used in estimating the wind potential. This paper is aimed at presenting the impact of various methods and models used for extrapolating wind speed measurements and generate a relevant wind speed profile. The results are compared against the real life wind speed readings. Wind resource maps come as a plus factor.

## 2. Wind power

Each turbine in a wind farm extracts kinetic energy from the wind. The commonplace literature states that real power produced by a turbine can be expressed with the following equation:

where *P* is the real power in Watts, *ρ* is the air density in kg/m^{3}, *A* is the rotor area in m^{2}, *v* is the wind speed in m/s, and *c*_{p} is the power coefficient (Masters, 2004). Air density is a function of temperature, altitude and, to a much smaller extent, humidity. The power coefficient is simply the ratio of power extracted by the wind turbine rotor to the power available in the wind. This data is supplied in tabular and, sometimes, graphical formats.

Since the power developed is proportional to the cube of wind speed, wind power production is highly dependent on the wind speed resources; thus an understanding of the wind speed variability is crucial if we are to determine the wind resources available at each wind farm location.

## 3. Factors influencing wind speeds

Empirical evidence has shown that at a great height over the ground surface (in the region of one kilometre) the land surface influence on the wind is negligible. However, in the lowest atmospheric layers the wind speed is affected by ground surface friction factors (Danish Wind Industry Association, 2003).

Local topography and weather patterns are predominant factors influencing both wind speed and wind availability. Differences in altitude can produce thermal effects. Usually the wind speed increases with altitude, so hills and mountains may come close to the high wind speed areas of the atmosphere. There is also an acceleration of wind flows around or over hills and the funnelling effect when flowing through ravines or along narrow valleys. On the other hand, artificial obstacles can affect wind flows. In short, there are two well-defined factors affecting wind speed: *environmental factors,* ranging from local topography, weather to farming crops, etc. and *artificial factors* ranging from man-made structures to permanent and temporary hindrances such as buildings, houses, fences and chimneys.

Natural or man-made topographical obstacles interfere with the wind laminated regime. A low level disruption will cause the wind speed to increase in the higher layers and drop in the opposite layers. In urban areas, a different situation arises: the so-called "island of heat"; an effect that will produce local winds. Due to this island of heat effect, the wind measurements readings at urban meteorological stations are not useful for predicting the wind patterns in other areas adjacent to large conurbations (Escudero, 2004).

The profile of average wind speed at one site is the representation of the wind speed variations in line with the height or distance of the site. Fig. 1 compares wind profiles at the CNA measurement station (CNA, “Comisión Nacional del Agua”) in Guadalupe, Zacatecas during a four-month period; in it we can see a display of the profile variations in the months concerned (Torres, 2007). We have noted also that, usually, the wind profile repeats itself year-on-year.

## 4. Wind speed calculations at varying heights

The initial measurements are generally taken at some ten-metre heights (Johnson, 2001; Masters, 2004), although there are data capture undertaken at lower heights and for other purposes such as agricultural monitoring. The commonly used technique is to estimate speeds at higher altitudes and extrapolate the readings obtained and build-up the site’s wind speed profile.

There are sundry theoretical expressions used for determining the wind speed profile. The Monin-Obukhov method is the most widely used to depict the wind speed *v* at height *z* by means of a log-linear profile clearly described by:

where *z* is the height, *v*_{f} is the friction velocity, *K* is the von Karman constant (normally assumed as 0.4), *z*_{0} is the surface roughness length, and *L* is a scale factor called the Monin-Obukhov length. The function *ξ*(*z/L*) is determined by the solar radiation at the site under survey. This equation is valid for short periods of time, e.g. minutes and average wind speeds and not for monthly or annual average readings.

This equation has proven satisfactory for detailed surveys at critical sites; however, such a method is difficult to use for general engineering studies. Thus the surveys must resort to simpler expressions and secure satisfactory results even when they are not theoretically accurate (Johnson, 2001). The most commonly used of these simpler expressions is the Hellmann exponential law that correlates the wind speed readings at two different heights and is expressed by:

In which *v* is the speed to the height *H*, *v*_{0} is the speed to the height *H*_{0} (frequently referred to as a 10-metre height) and *α* is the friction coefficient or Hellman exponent. This coefficient is a function of the topography at a specific site and frequently assumed as a value of 1/7 for open land (Bansal et al., 2002; Masters, 2004; Patel, 2006). However, it must be borne in mind that this parameter can vary for one place with 1/7 value during the day up to 1/2 during at night time (Camblong, 2003). Equation (3) is also known as the power law when the value of *α* is equal to 1/7 is commonly referred to as the *one-seventh power law*.

Provided there are no significant ground level obstacles, the friction coefficient *α* (equation (3)) is set empirically and the equation can be used to adjust the data reasonably well in the range of 10 up to 100-150 metres. The coefficient varies with the height, hour of the day, time of the year, land features, wind speeds and temperature. All such findings have emerged from the analysis undertaken at several locations worldwide (Farrugia, 2003; Jaramillo & Borja, 2004; Rehman, 2007). Table 1 shows the friction coefficients of various land spots that, in each case, are given in function of the land roughness (Fernández, 2008; Masters, 2004; Patel, 2006).

Another formula, known as the logarithmic wind profile law and which is widely used across Europe, is the following:

where *z*_{0} is called the roughness coefficient length and is expressed in metres, and which depends basically on the land type, spacing and height of the roughness factor (water, grass, etc.) and it ranges from 0.0002 up to 1.6 or more. These values can be found in the common literature (Danish Wind Industry Association, 2003; Masters, 2004). In addition to the land roughness, these values depend on several factors: they can vary during the day and at night and even during the year. For instance the reading or monitoring stations can be within farming land; it follows that the height/length of the crops will change. However, once the speeds have been calculated at other heights, the relevant equations can be used for calculating the power or average useful energy potential via different methods such as Weibull or Rayleigh distributions. The specialist software package available for calculating such data is known as WAsP^{©}.

Something worth highlighting is that *z*_{0}, for a homogeneous land, can be obtained by means of measurements at two different heights. Once this new *z*_{0} is to hand, it becomes very straightforward to calculate the speed at other heights and the speed profile would be the one expressed by equation (3), thus turning calculations into a much simpler task (Borja et al., 1998).

It is also important to consider that as well as a wind compass rose is used for tracing the map of the amount of energy coming from different directions, a roughness rose is often created for a given site and where the roughness is specified for each directional sector. For each sector an estimate of the roughness is assumed, with a view to estimate how the wind speed does change in each sector due to the varying land roughness (Danish Wind Industry Association, 2003).

It is quite common to extract from the tables a rated value of such roughness factor. However, when these factors are compared against factor calculations you can conclude that the factors shown in the tables are not always accomplished. The common literature is fairly prolific on roughness coefficients used with Tables 2, 3 and 4 being the most commonly used. From the tables it is easy to note the differences among them, and a good sample of such differences is the value allocated to large cities and sizable forest areas.

A way forward that allows us to obtain fairly reliable friction and roughness coefficients is to undertake estimates in similar places (proximity and environmental conditions’ wise) is to register the wind speed readings from at least two different heights during a reasonable length of time. The friction coefficient *α* is firstly obtained for two different heights and speeds using equation (3), by:

And then by using equations (3) and (4) with the roughness coefficient *z*_{0} being obtained via;

Both friction *α* and roughness *z*_{0} coefficients are completed for two different measurements and then it becomes feasible to depict the corresponding wind profile and relevant factors for one day, time and year for different wind directions (Farrugia, 2003; Jaramillo & Borja, 2004).

There are locations where it is difficult to match these factors or the results appear to be wrong because they do not show very reliable data. These locations are usually in mountain ranges where, according to national and international recommendations, it makes sense to take the readings at several altitudes during a reasonable length of time.

In 1947 Frost (Sisterson et al., 1983) proved that equation (3) with a value of *α* = 1/7 described good atmospheric wind profiles for heights ranging from 1.5 and 122 metres during almost neutral conditions (adiabatic). However, this data indicates that the values of *α* drop with the heat (unstable conditions) and increase with a land cooling down cycle (stable conditions). Nowadays the atmosphere trends, below the 10 metre mark, are illustrated easily by means of flux–gradient relationships whenever the land surface features and the momentum fluxes and heat have known values.

## 5. Case studies

With a view to showing the effectiveness of the extrapolation methods in securing a wind profile, three case studies are thoroughly scrutinised. In such case studies the information shown stems from the monitoring stations at different altitudes. Measurements are used for calculating the wind speeds using the exponential Hellmann law equation (3) and the logarithmic law profile equation (4).

### 5.1. Base case

This case was extracted from the paper published (Jaramillo & Borja, 2004) in which the average registered annual speeds in year 2001 – at 15 and 32 metres above ground level - were 9.3 and 10.557 m/s respectively. According to such data the friction coefficient *α* is 0.1673 and the roughness coefficient *z*_{0}, is 0.055. These coefficients are used for calculating wind speeds at 32 and 60 metres. The calculated and measured average speeds are shown in Table 5, with a difference in the estimated speed at 60 metres with the calculated coefficients *α* and *z*_{0}.

Height | 15 m | 32 m | 60 m |

Measured speed [m/s] | 9.3 | 10.557 | - |

Calculated speed [m/s] with α | - | 10.5568 | 11.7277 |

Calculated speed [m/s] with z_{0} | - | 10.5563 | 11.5994 |

The wind profile obtained from equations (3) and (4) is almost coincidental in the lowest heights but, as shown in Fig. 2, when going over the 35-metre ceiling, the wind speed value differences start to show up. It is clear that calculated coefficients operate well for the first extrapolation but have a poor accuracy rating for speeds at higher altitudes.

The curves of Fig. 2 shows that for a height of 100 m the difference between the speed values using both equations (3) and (4), is for about 0.35 m/s, which would represent a difference of approximately 100 W/m^{2}, since the energy content of the wind varies with the cube of the average wind speed, which is why one must be very careful when making extrapolated values using a single method, as this would impact on the estimation of wind resources, and economic aspects.

### 5.2. Case study: urban areas

In this case we considered the data from two different monitoring stations located in the main Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM) campus, one of them known as DGSCA and the other referred to as JARBO (UNAM, 2008).

As regards the DGSCA station, the data was measured along a time horizon of 15 months at 10-minute intervals using two anemometers at 20 and 30 metres over the roof level of a building which is some 15 metres high and surrounded with vegetation whose altitude is some 15 metres over the roof level.

The JARBO station readings were taken over 11 months at 10-minute intervals and using 3 anemometers located at 20, 30 and 40 metres above ground level.

The procedure entailed using the readings for calculating the exponent *α* for two different heights and then secure the roughness coefficient *z*_{0} using equation (5). The graphic results for both coefficients of the DGSCA station are shown in Fig. 3.

As you may have noted from the previous graphs, the roughness coefficient gets to values very close to zero and it is also distinctly obvious the sharp variations experienced in the roughness and friction coefficients during January and February in 2 different serial years. Thus, this case attracts very special attention and a considerable error will arise when managing average coefficients. For instance, during the month of May and using equations (3) and (4), the estimated wind profile would be the one shown in Fig. 4. Likewise, Fig. 5 shows the wind profiles for December 2006 and 2007 highlights that although it is the same month for two consecutive years, the readings showed different wind average speeds and profiles.

Looking at the JARBO station case - and resorting to the same procedure as with the DGSCA station case - friction coefficients were obtained for 20 and 30 metres (*α*_{1}), then for 20 and 40 metres (*α*_{2}) and finally for 30 and 40 metres (*α*_{3}). Such friction coefficients were then used to work out the respective roughness coefficients and their average values. The outcome is shown in Fig. 6.

Furthermore, Fig. 6 shows that the variation of the two monthly average coefficients is remarkable. This is an issue we need to address since it would indicate that the extrapolation method is not the right one or is inconsistent when it comes to sites located within urban areas. The wind profiles for this case are more complex. Indeed Fig. 7 presents the average wind profiles for two different months together with the coefficients’ average values. This finding illustrates that wind energy calculation errors using a friction coefficient of 1/7 could become quite significant.

For completeness sake, Fig. 8 shows the wind resource maps for the JARBO station referred to wind speed and power density at 20 metres high. The wind speed obtained in this area ranges from 1.70 to 2.38 m/s and the wind power variation goes from 7 to 18 W/m^{2}, which can hardly make a case for installing a wind turbine.

### 5.3. Case study: rural areas

In this case, the surveyed data stems from measurements taken at a monitoring station located in the UAA-UAZ rural and farming area (Medina, 2006; IIE, 2008). These readings were taken at three different altitudes, namely 3, 20 and 40 metres above ground level. Three friction coefficients were obtained from this data while resorting to equation (3) at 3 and 20 metres (*α*_{1}), at 3 and 40 metres (*α*_{2}) and, finally, at 20 and 40 metres (*α*_{3}). With these friction coefficients the relevant roughness coefficients and their average values were calculated using equation. (6). Thereafter we calculated the annual average values for the friction and roughness coefficient at 0.240 and 0.181 m respectively. The average speeds of every month and the annual average were calculated with the use of both friction and roughness coefficients. We then undertook a comparison between calculated and measured data at 20 and 40 metres high and we identified some variations. Tables 6 and 7 show the sets of calculated and measured data as well as highlighting the differences between them; in some cases in excess of 8%, as shown in the average speed columns calculated for 40 m (*V*_{3} in August, column 4 from Table 6 and column 5 from Table 7) with both friction and roughness coefficients at the *H*_{1} and *H*_{3} altitudes.

Fig. 9 shows, for this case the variation experienced by the friction and roughness coefficients. The variation of the roughness coefficient for the height included in the analysis and for a specific month is also very noticeable (Fig. 10).

As it can be concluded from the data captured in the foregoing figures, in some cases there are important variations when using either average values for the roughness or friction coefficients; it is also noticeable that they experience changes throughout the season or month and with land altitudes.

In this case the wind profiles for both August-2005 and March-2006 on a 3-metre-high basis are shown in Fig. 11. The wind resource maps encompassing the wind speed and power density at this station are shown in Fig. 12. These maps are for a height of 80 metres.

From Fig. 12 it can be noted that the wind speed data obtained in this zone fluctuates between 4.06 and 7.79 m/s whereas the power density ranges from 129 and 897 W/m^{2}; thus pointing out that using wind power here is a viable proposition.

## 6. Conclusions

This work focuses on the use of scientific findings and predefined coefficients for calculating the wind speed at different heights. Moreover, these findings must be pondered carefully because -as this work demonstrates- these coefficients are heavily dependent on the relevant land features.

Since the wind speed undergoes repeated changes and the roughness and friction coefficients also change in line with the landscape features, the time of the day, the temperature, height, wind direction, etc. it follows that the reading results (when extrapolating such wind speed data for a specific reference height) should be pondered carefully and taken with a pinch of salt.

This assumption is further enhanced by the basic hard facts that whenever we use a single equation or we have not identified the prevailing parameters on the site where the measuring instrument are placed, we could easily end up with misleading values or be far from their true values Needless to say these wrong readings and assumptions will lead us to wrong estimates of energy obtained from the wind in a specific point, and thus it will impact in the wind energy resource assessment in a region.

The formulas and scientific findings can be used as initial estimates of the wind potential to be had at the desired altitudes. Such initial estimates do lead us to consider the necessity of an international standard to be applied and coupled with the necessary exceptions in each case. In real life and to sum up, there is no better substitute to actual site measurements.

This sort of surveys and analytical work are the initial steps prior to mounting the masts and towers fitted with either precision measuring instruments or wind generators. Indeed an analysis of this kind would help to save money and time that otherwise – i.e. in the absence of the appropriate methodology - would be totally wasted.

## Acknowledgements

Our word of thanks goes to J. A. Serrano-García, D. E. Muciño-Morales for his significant contributions to this work. A significant fraction of this work was produced on the basis of monitoring station readings undertaken by the following institutions: IIE, INIFAP and UNAM. Their contribution is gratefully acknowledged. F. Bañuelos-Ruedas wishes to express his gratitude to the “Programa de Mejoramiento del Profesorado (PROMEP)” and to the UAZ for their support while this work was being compiled. Dr. Angeles-Camacho wishes to convey his gratitude for the support provided by DGAPA-UNAM under the project IN11510-2. Dr. Rios-Marcuello wishes to convey his gratitude for the support provided by the PUC of Chile.