Open access peer-reviewed chapter

Applying Consistency Fuzzy Preference Relations to Select a Strategy that Attracts Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Developing Supporting Industries for Vietnam

Written By

Nguyen Xuan Huynh and Hoang Dinh Phi

Submitted: 03 September 2019 Reviewed: 14 October 2019 Published: 20 February 2020

DOI: 10.5772/intechopen.90125

From the Edited Volume

Foreign Direct Investment Perspective through Foreign Direct Divestment

Edited by Anita Maček

Chapter metrics overview

733 Chapter Downloads

View Full Metrics

Abstract

The Vietnamese government has been focused on promoting supporting industries, which may provide a “key” solution for sustained development and thereby improve the national welfare. Coincidentally, Vietnam is also focused on an optimal strategy to attract foreign direct investment (FDI that develops a strategy for supporting industries). However, these results have not been achieved due to the weaknesses of low FDI flow, the limited number of capital projects, and the inclusion of smaller enterprises with lower technology into the mix. This negative situation begs the question as to what might be the best strategy for attracting FDI that developmentally supports the Vietnamese industry. As an intended remedy, this inquiry establishes an analytical, hierarchy framework beneficial to the Vietnamese government on a best strategic method for attracting FDI to develop supporting local industries. This study utilizes fuzzy preference relations to improve the decision-making process to be both consistent and effective. The analytical results demonstrate that institutional policies, domestic supply capacity, human resources, and technological development, coupled with innovation, are the key criteria to be considered when selecting a strategy that attracts regular FDI. Furthermore, analytical results presented in this work demonstrate that the best strategies for attracting FDI to Vietnam are those that motivate sustainable economic growth on an ongoing basis.

Keywords

  • attracting FDI
  • developing supporting industries
  • fuzzy preference relations
  • multi-criteria decision-making

1. Introduction

Vietnam’s supporting industries are still less developed and less competitive than those of other Asian countries, comparatively speaking [1]. Some of the major factors leading to the weakness of supporting industries in Vietnam are a distinct lack of capital, technological innovation, and management skills suitable for development purposes [2]. FDI increases economic growth of recipient countries by bringing physical change through the introduction of infrastructure, advanced technology, and management expertise [3]. It is also considered to increase domestic capital, create employment, raise personal incomes, promote technology, and generate the transfer of skills through foreign technology and know-how to boost host country economies; so, such investment is seen as the engine of economic growth in the long term [4]. Moreover, FDI is an important vehicle for the transfer of technology, as it contributes relatively more to overall growth than what domestic investment may accomplish [5]. Therefore, attracting FDI for developing supporting industries is seen to be the best strategy to solve the problem of much-needed capital obtainment.

In addition, Vietnam is still considered to be a developing country. The Vietnamese government has concentrated on attracting FDI to develop supporting industries which will add to further overall development throughout the nation as a whole [6, 7]. However, the FDI attraction necessary to develop supporting industries in Vietnam is still viewed as an inherent weakness due to low FDI inflows, the noticeably limited number of infrastructure projects, and the proliferation of smaller, lower-technology enterprises that do not significantly contribute to any great extent [6]. Moreover, the General Statistics Office (GSO) of Vietnam [8] states that the total cumulative FDI for developing supporting industries is approximately US $29.16 billion, accounting for a 46.19% of all FDI projects, and 72.25% of the total FDI value in industries, wherein 15.63% quantity of FDI projects and 16.87% of the total FDI value are shown in supporting industries. Therefore, this study demonstrates the key factors that will have the most important impact to attract FDI to develop supporting industries in Vietnam.

This study concentrates on selecting a workable strategy for attracting FDI to develop supporting industries in Vietnam. Moreover, it should be noted that FDI firms consistently perform better than domestic ones in order to drive the development of Vietnam’s supporting industries [2]. It utilizes a theoretical study, and it examines the current situation of developing supporting industries coupled with the reality of attracting FDI to Vietnam. This examination is to be taken together with the results which are concomitant with interviews of government staff and policy-makers, economists, foreign investors, and managers from six supporting industries. The results have indicated that there are eight main criteria that influence the attraction of FDI to develop supporting industries [6]; and, there are three alternative strategies applicable to attracting FDI. The eight main criteria are as follows: (1) institutions and policies; (2) human resources (e.g., quantity, salary, education, skill, and morale); (3) infrastructure facilities (e.g., transport, power, information, communication, etc.); (4) domestic supply capability (total value and partition domestic supply chain and the quantity and size of supporting industries firms); (5) market size of supporting industries (i.e., the total consumption of supporting industries products); (6) technological development and innovation; (7) international cooperation and competition; and (8) other criteria (such as environmental policy, culture, tax policy, land support, corruption, etc.). When taken together, there exist various alternative strategy policies for attracting FDI to develop supporting industries, namely: (i) attracting FDI for developing supporting industries, which motivates the economy’s sustainable growth; (ii) attracting FDI for developing supporting industries, which increases national competitiveness; and (iii) attracting FDI for developing supporting industries, which stimulates overall national technological development. Based on the results obtained, an analytical, hierarchy framework has been developed to assist the Vietnamese government and involved policy-makers to evaluate the practical influence of those criteria under review and to choose a strategy platform which may attract future FDI to develop supporting industries by using the established eight main criteria and three alternatives posited in this study.

This study uses AHP methodology to perform complicated pairwise comparisons among the criteria at hand. It may take considerable time to obtain a convincing consistency index with such an increasing number of criteria. From that, or because of that, the study uses the consistency fuzzy preference relations (CFPR) model [6, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16] useful to calculate the nature of the criteria and the adjacent alternative weighting. These results are utilized to determine the most important criteria and to select the best strategy for attracting FDI.

Advertisement

2. Related literature

2.1 Concepts of supporting industry and developing supporting industries in Vietnam

The term “supporting industries” is derived from Japanese literature in the mid-1980s [2, 17, 18]. It first appeared in a White Paper on Economic Cooperation of the Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI) of Japan [19] for the promotion of industrialization as a process and as part of directing the development of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) which were part of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) country structure, especially in Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, and the Philippines. The term was officially defined to signify industries that supply raw materials, parts, and capital goods for assembly-type industries. Currently, the term “supporting industries” is widely used, especially in East Asia. It is interpreted differently in different fields of activities [2, 18, 20]. In Vietnam, the use of supporting industries is defined in accordance with Decision No. 12/2011/QĐ-TTg promulgated by the Prime Minister: “The supporting industries are industries producing materials, spare parts, components, accessories or semi-finished products as the means of the production of final products in production and assembly industries or of consumer products” [21]. Accordingly, Decision No. 1483/QĐ-TTg promulgated by the Prime Minister, on August 26, 2011, stated: “On promulgating a list of supporting industry products that are given priority for development” [22], there are six industries which are identified, including textile-garments, leather shoes, electronic computing, manufacturing and assembly automobiles, mechanical engineering, and supporting industry products used for and by high-tech industries.

Supporting industries can play a role in promoting economic growth [7]. A country with competitive supporting industries will contribute to economic development and national welfare even in the long run [6]. It is expressed through the following means: First, the development of competitive supporting industries will cause the dynamic effect of promoting technological innovations and developing human resources, thereby improving national welfare [23]. Second, a country with competitive supporting industries can sustain FDI for final assembly processes relatively longer than a country without competitive supporting industries. And, finally, a country with competitive supporting industries can export manufactured inputs to countries where the final assembly processes are ultimately transferred. Moreover, it should be noted that national industries will benefit most when the domestic supporting industries are able to become globally competitive, although a nation does not need to be competitive in all supporting industries if it has specialization in certain given areas [24]. Therefore, developing countries may wish to establish competitive supporting industries for long-term economic growth.

As stated, Vietnam is a developing country, and the industrialization and modernization is still progressing [25, 26, 27, 28]. Therefore, the Vietnamese government is concentrating on promoting supporting industries wherever possible. This promotion is exemplified by Vietnam’s support of industry prospects currently under assessment by Japanese enterprises [18], coupled with various decisions and policies for developing supporting industries such as: Decision No. 34/2007/QD-BCN, promulgated on July 31, 2007, by the Minister of Industry and Trade, which states: “Approving the planning of industrial development supports up to 2010 and vision to 2020” [29]; Decision No. 12/2011/QD-TTg, promulgated on February 24, 2011, by the Prime Minister, which states: “On development policies of some supporting industries” [21]; Decision No. 1843//QD-TTg, promulgated on August 26, 2011, by the Prime Minister, which states: “On promulgating a list of supporting industry products that are given priority for development” [22]; Decision No. 1556/QD-TTg, promulgated on October 17, 2012, by the Prime Minister, which states: “Development of an approval scheme, to help developing small and medium enterprises in supporting industries field” [19]; Decision No. 9028/QD-BCT, promulgated on October 10, 2014, by the Minister of Industry and Trade, which states: “Approval of a master plan for developing supporting industries up to 2020, vision to 2030” [30]; Decree No. 1111/2015/ND-CP, promulgated on November 3, 2015, by the Prime Minister, which states: “On the development of supporting industries” [31]; Decision No. 68/QD-TTg, promulgated on January 18, 2017, by the Prime Minister, which states: “On the approving of the program on development of supporting industries from 2016 to 2025” [32]; Decision No. 10/2017/QD-TTg, promulgated on April 3, 2017, by the Prime Minister, which states: “Promulgating the regulation on management and implementation of the program on development of supporting industries” [33]; and Decision No. 4572/QD-BCT, promulgated on November 7, 2014, by the Minister of Industry and Trade, which states: “Promulgating the regulation on formulation, receipt, appraisal, approval and implementation of schemes under the program on development of supporting industries” [34]. However, Vietnam’s supporting industries are still in the very initial stages of development. The reality of supporting industries in Vietnam is that they are significantly lower in developmental status and weak in competitiveness [35]. This is evidenced by the lower proportion of locally finished goods. One recent Vietnamese governmental report [36] and a notice from the General Statistics Office of Vietnam [8] indicate that the proportion of localization in finished products in some supporting industries is 10.5% in manufacturing and assembly of automobiles, 17.2% in electronics, 12.5% in mechanical engineering, 9.5% in textile-garments, and 13.1% in leather shoes. This obviously underdeveloped state of the local supporting industry has negatively resulted in increased production costs, the risk of bigger trade deficits with foreign partners, and a lowered competitiveness of Vietnamese products than regional peers. This is due in large part to the importation of components and spare parts, which continues to be one of the primary factors preventing industrial development and economic growth, leading to increased national welfare. Some of the major factors which have led to overall weakness in Vietnam’s supporting industries are a lack of capital expenditure, reduced technological innovation, and paucity of management skills for development [2].

2.2 Strategy for attracting FDI for developing supporting industries

Developing countries may improve national welfare by attracting FDI [37]. It is understood that FDI supports economic growth, increased personal incomes, and leads to a greater rate of employment and technological transfer on a national basis [37]. Moreover, there are five main channels of technological diffusion which are linked to FDI flows: demonstration or imitation; labor mobility; exportation; competition; and backward and forward linkages with domestic firms [38]. These five channels, respectively, match the following situations: (i) the efforts of domestic firms to adopt successful technology used by multinational corporations (MNCs); (ii) the recruitment by domestic firms of workers with MNC experience who are able to use different technologies; (iii) access to large distribution networks and the related gain due to a better knowledge of consumer tastes in foreign markets; (iv) a more efficient usage of existing resources and technology or the incorporation by domestic firms of new technologies in the production process to compete with MNCs; and (v) the relationship between MNCs and domestic firms, where the latter can become suppliers of MNCs (backward linkages) or customers of intermediate outputs of MNCs (forward linkages) [37].

In addition, the research results produced by international case studies, in terms of the positive impact FDI flows have on the invested country, are related as follows: (i) managing the status of lack of funds and thereby increasing labor productivity, employment, and other production factors; (ii) promoting the growth by increasing total social investment; (iii) keeping the balance of payments; (iv) contributing to diversification of the production structure; (v) employment effects; and (vi) a transfer of technology [2]. The infusion of FDI creates the effect of future production and further investment both before and after subsequent production stages have been initiated. The general situation in many countries, Vietnam included, is that FDI significantly contributes to export growth and job creation, but it does not help to increase the level of national prosperity despite job creation, albeit at minimum wage, in the manufacturing sector. However, FDI flows may have the potential of causing major instability to a given marketplace environment, as follows: pinching domestic manufacturers instead of network cooperation and weakening the overall sense of prosperity through the outward transfer of profits and income to foreign countries. This situation would decidedly be in favor of the investors who make investments through massive incentive programs presented by host countries [17].

Many empirical studies support the theory that MNCs and MNEs tend to have higher productivity than domestic firms located in the same sector, thereby contributing to considerable GDP growth in developing markets. While customers of supporting industries are typically domestic assemblers, it is possible for foreign assemblers to become located in the domestic market and for foreign assemblers to also be located in adjacent foreign countries in the region [37]. It should be noted that foreign assemblers are frequently MNCs and MNEs. More importantly, it seems that developing countries expect that MNCs will have a supposed positive impact on the productivity levels of domestic firms by the potential generation of positive externalities. FDI may generate positive externalities worthy of the productivity growth of domestic suppliers through business relationships with MNCs (known as “backward linkages” afterward) and to increased output and productivity of domestic supporting industries, due to the additional demand and technological transfer caused by MNCs. Moreover, if increasing FDI causes positive externalities for domestic suppliers and concomitantly improves their productivity through backward linkages, national welfare in FDI host countries will also undoubtedly improve. Finally, developing countries may improve their national welfare through the attraction of FDI, if their supporting industries can obtain positive externalities that far exceed the negative externalities some domestic assemblers may yet encounter [2].

The role of FDI in the development of supporting industries is seen as follows: (i) to develop the infrastructure of the industry, paving the way for the development supporting industries; (ii) to expand the market scale; (iii) to create conditions for the host country to participate in global production networks, pushing them up to higher-value stage in the value chain; (iv) to implement the international division of labor and human resource development; and (v) to develop and transfer technology to the host country. Aside from the positive impacts, FDI may also negatively impact industry in invested countries, such as (1) pinching domestic manufacturers instead of meeting network needs, as in the case of foreign manufacturers who choose to produce supporting industry products as domestic enterprises, and (2) causing environmental pollution and depleting host country resources due to involvement with supporting industry small- and medium-sized enterprises using outdated technology or with TNCs’ strategies which invest overseas solely for purposes of natural resource exploitation.

Accordingly, the importance of competitive supporting industries as partners in MNCs’ dynamic technology innovation and their positive roles as the recipients of technology transfer from MNCs has been stressed [24]. Additionally, domestic supporting industries may wish to take advantage of their relative geographical proximity to MNCs for purposes of rapid information flow and technical interchange. Therefore, it is important to note that for developing countries to establish competitive supporting industries, FDI-driven economic growth must occur as a prerequisite. Furthermore, domestic supporting industries are of increasing importance because they may act as a significant factor to attract FDI as well [2]. In a reverse sense, FDI will promote the development of supporting industries. Thus, attracting FDI for the development of supporting industries motivates an economy’s sustainable level of growth, thus stimulating the national technological development and increasing national competitiveness on a global scale.

Evaluation criteria useful for analyzing the attraction of FDI for the development of supporting industries may be considered, as follows:

  1. First, FDI inflows on supporting industry: The increase or decrease in FDI flow into supporting industries reflects the attractiveness of supporting industries for FDI enterprises as well as for those countries that receive the FDI. So, the FDI inflows to supporting industries are considered to be part of the capital flow on implementation, the number of projects in each industry, and the scale of FDI enterprises in those supporting industries.

  2. Secondly, technological transfer from FDI enterprises to supporting industry enterprises: It reflects the quality of supporting industries products as well as the ability to receive technological transfer from TNCs, MNCs, and MNEs of domestic enterprises.

  3. Thirdly, the association level between FDI enterprises and domestic enterprises: It expresses a connection between both domestic and FDI enterprises. It should be considered from two aspects: (i) the relationship between supporting industries enterprises with customers and suppliers and (ii) the correlation between supplying resources of internal businesses, importing, and domestic supplying resources.

  4. Fourthly, development of human resources and management skills: It is wholly transferrable through FDI exchange to the host country.

  5. Finally, environmental problems: Strict environmental regulations will nurture technological development and facilitate the creation of a “green” technology market [39].

There are two trends which are known to attract FDI for the development of industry in developing countries. These trends include, but are not limited to, (1) attracting FDI in assembly-related industries before investment in component manufacturing industries since the development of an assembly industry will promote the development of a component manufacturing industry and other supporting industries (This is called a “linking effect” toward the inputs that will have an impact leading to the development of one industry with supporting industries in manufacturing intermediate inputs) and (2) attracting FDI in manufacturing industries before entering the component-assembling industry, so that the component manufacturing industry will develop before the assembly sector concerns; or, in other words, the development of a component industry will lead to the development of related assembly industries. As more and more facilities appear in an effort to supply intermediate equipment and materials, goods manufacturers and enterprises will soon have an even greater ability to access raw materials and component sources. Therefore, the average cost for manufacturing and assembling will decrease, and these countries shall continuously attract more multinational companies to set up new assembly plants at those relative locations [2].

Because of its status as a developing country, Vietnam has concentrated on attracting FDI to develop supporting industries. However, the attraction of FDI to develop supporting industries in Vietnam is still a weakness due to a deficient quantity of total governmental capital expenditure and qualitative infrastructure projects. The General Statistics Office of Vietnam [9] states that the total cumulative FDI for developing supporting industries is approximately US $29.7 billion, accounting for 16.8% quantity of FDI projects and 18.3% of the total FDI value in all supporting industries and main industries. This study examines the reality of developing supporting industries and attracting FDI for the development of supporting industries in Vietnam. The results indicate that there are eight important factors for making investment decisions by foreign investors whenever deciding to invest in Vietnam’s supporting industries [6], including:

  1. Institutions and state policies: This all-important factor creates just the right conditions for the development of supporting industries. The factorial impact may be expressed in two possible ways: First, it is the view of the state regarding the development of supporting industries to orient the national industrial development strategy to be consistent with the trend of globalization and international economic integration. The relationships needed to associate with the international economy must be expanded upon. It must be understood that the mutual assurance of relationships between supporting areas and industrial manufacturing sectors is not to be confined within a single country but within a regional or a global scale. Therefore, a unified view of any development regarding supporting industries is particularly important for national and industrial development of supporting industries to occur. Second, the policy on the development of industry and supporting industries in a country, which may or may not be developed, is largely dependent on the development strategies and policies decided by the state. Therefore, those policies related to promoting supporting industries, such as support for information technology, capital, provisions of association in business, etc., will greatly contribute to the promotional development of supporting industry. On the other hand, the localization policy; tax policy on importing and manufacturing semifinished products, both parts and components; the level of state-sponsored investment in scientific research and technology in supporting industry areas; the laws, standards, and technical regulations promulgated on behalf of industries; and diversification of products within the supporting industry networks can be seen to either facilitate or hinder the continued development of supporting industries. This is due in most part to the presence or the lack of a development-oriented perspective of the state as it is related to this issue [40, 41].

  2. Human resources: Due to the manpower requirements of supporting industries, human resources are a principal factor maintaining a strong impact on future levels of industrial development and national supporting industries. The criteria of interest for determining human resources include the number, educational background, personal qualifications, absorptive capacity, self-discipline, communication skills (including language competency), drive for innovation, and professionalism of the human resources managers who are involved [2, 39, 42].

  3. Infrastructure facilities: This remains an important influence needed to attract FDI for the development of strategic investment (SI). Any nation possessing appropriate infrastructure (i.e., transportation, power, information, and communication) conditions has an advantage in attracting FDI to develop supportive industries, while a lack of infrastructure means the opposite is inevitable [41].

  4. Domestic supply capability: In order to ensure the domestic supply of materials, parts, and accessories for production-stage products derived from MNEs, the domestic supply chain (i.e., total value and partition of the domestic supply and the quantity and size of supporting industry firms) must have a huge number of offerings at its disposal, good quality, and cheap prices. It will greatly help MNEs to minimize the costs incurred for transportation and storage while guaranteeing the timely delivery through accurate production planning and the timely assembly of MNEs [43].

  5. Market size of supporting industries: Market size (i.e., total consumption of supporting industries products) and outsourced procurement both play a central role in the development of SI. If a market is large enough to attract business participation in the supply of products and services, it will enable MNEs to easily facilitate partnership, make technology transfers possible, and establish business linkages [43].

  6. Technological development and innovation: As a solid foundation for the development of principal industry, supporting industries require considerable regular investment in terms of modern machinery, capital equipment, and innovative technology. Assemblage enterprises consistently set out many stringent requirements for the technical standards involved in the production of component types and spare parts. Therefore, if the supporting enterprises do not apply modern technology and improved techniques in their manufacturing efforts, they will not be able to create products which match assemblers’ exacting standards. At such a time, the assemblers will have to invest in the manufacturing of, or importation of, overseas components and parts by themselves to meet client needs [2, 18].

  7. International cooperation and competition: The liberalization of trade and investment, through international forums and region, significantly reduces transaction costs, increases trade, and strengthens national competitiveness and international engagement. Moreover, the level of competition in attracting investment capital between countries is becoming ever more acute as global revenue pools shrink. To enhance competitiveness in attracting FDI, a growing number of countries have tried to adjust their national policies and to improve the local investment climate to become more attractive for foreign investment to occur [6].

  8. Other criteria: The influence of attracting FDI toward the overall development of supporting industries is important. This factor (i.e., environment policy, culture, tax policy, land supporting, corruption, inclusion of MNEs) will lead to a positive ripple effect in the national economy, which, in turn, will lead to further employment opportunities, greater tax digest, and sustainable growth for the host nation [6].

When taken together, there are various alternative strategy policies possible for attracting FDI to develop supporting industries, namely: (1) attracting FDI for developing supporting industries, which motivates the economy’s sustainable growth; (2) attracting FDI for developing supporting industries, which increases national competitiveness; and (3) attracting FDI for developing supporting industries, which stimulates the nation’s technological development, leading to significant benefits overall.

Advertisement

3. Research methodology

Respective of this study, the proposed procedure utilizes the consistent fuzzy preference relations (CFPR) process to select a beneficial strategy for attracting foreign direct investment (FDI). The following section will give a brief description of the suggested CFPR method.

Herrera-Viedma et al. [9] proposed the consistent fuzzy preference relations methodology in accordance with two preference relations, namely, the multiplicative preference relation and fuzzy preference relation (10)(16).

3.1 Multiplicative preference relations

A multiplicative preference relations A on a set of alternatives X is represented by a preference relations matrix AX×X, A=aij, aij199, where aij denotes the ratio of the preference degree of alternative xi over xj [44, 45]. As aij=1 indicates no difference between xi and xj, aij=9 indicates that xi is strongly preferable to xj. A is assumed to be a multiplicative reciprocal, that is,

aijaji=1i,j1nE1

Definition 3.1. A reciprocal multiplicative preference relation A=aij is consistent if.

aijajk=aiki,j,k=1,,nE2

3.2 Fuzzy preference relation

Expert preferences over a set of alternatives where X is denoted by a positive preference relation matrix PX×X with membership function βp:X×X01, where pij=βpxixj indicates the ratio of the preference intensity of alternative xi to that of xj. Moreover, if pij = i=1npij implies indifference between xi and xj (xi ∼ xj), pij=1 indicates that xi is absolutely preferred to xj, pij=0 indicates xj is absolutely preferred to xi, and pij > 12 indicates that xi is preferred to xi, xi>xj. Meanwhile, P is assumed to be an additive reciprocal, that is,

pij+pji=1i,j1nE3

Proposition 3.1. Suppose that this paper has a set of alternatives, X=x1xn, and associated with it is a reciprocal multiplicative preference relation A=aij with aij199. Then, the corresponding reciprocal fuzzy preference relation, P=pij, with pij01 associated with A is given as follows:

pij=gaij=121+log9aijE4

With such a transformation function g, this paper can relate the research issues obtained for both kinds of preference relations.

3.3 On consistency of the fuzzy preference relations

Proposition 3.2. Let A=aij be a consistent multiplicative preference relation; then the corresponding reciprocal fuzzy preference relations P=gA verify additive transitivity property.

Proof. For A=aij being consistent, this paper has that aijajk=aiki,j,k or equivalently aijajkaki=1i,j,k. Taking logarithms on both sides, it has.

log9aij+log9ajk+log9aki=0i,j,kE5

Adding 3 to both sides and dividing by 2 yields.

121+log9aij+121+log9ajk+121+log9aki=32i,j,kE6

The fuzzy preference relations P=gA, being pij=121+log9aij, verifies.

pij+pjk+pik=32i,j,kE7

We conclude that P=gA verifies additive transitivity property.

In such a way, this paper considers the following definition of the consistent fuzzy preference relation:

Definition 3.3. A reciprocal fuzzy preference relation P=(pij) is consistent if.

pij+pjk+pki=32i,j,k=1,nE8

In what follows, this paper will use the term additive consistency to refer to consistency for fuzzy preference relations based on the additive transitivity property.

3.4 Additive transitivity consistency of the fuzzy preference relations

Proposition 3.4-1. For a reciprocal fuzzy preference relation P=(pij), the following statements are equivalent:

i.pij+pjk+pki=32i,j,kE9
ii.pij+pjk+pki=32i<j<kE10

Proposition 3.4-2. A fuzzy preference relation P=(pij) is consistent if and only if.

pij+pjk+pki=32ijkE11

Proposition 3.4-3. For a reciprocal additive fuzzy preference relation P=(pij), the following statements are equivalent:

i.pij+pjk+pki=32i<j<kE12
ii.pii+1+pi+1i+2+pj1j+pji=ji+12i<jE13

3.5 Construct a consistency of the fuzzy preference relations

If the preference matrix contains any values that are not in the interval 01, but in an interval a1+a, being a>0, a linear solution is required to preserve the reciprocity and additive transitivity, that is, F:a1+a01. Therefore, by Proposition 3.4, it can construct a consistent fuzzy preference relation P on X=x1x2,,xn;n2 from n1 preference values p12p23,,pn1n; the steps are described in the following:

  1. 1. Compute the set of preference values B as

B=piji<jpijp12,p23,,pn1n;pij=ji+12pii+1pi+1i+2pj1jE14
a=minBp12p23pn1nE15
P=p12,p23,,pn1nB1p12,1p23,,1pn1n¬BE16

  1. 2. The consistent fuzzy preference relation P′ is obtained as P'=fP such that

f:a1+a01E17
fx=x+a1+2aE18
Advertisement

4. Framework for selecting a strategy for attracting FDI under multi-criteria decision-making

4.1 Evaluated criteria and framework of the evaluation model

As part of this study, 22 government staff members and policy-makers, foreign investors, managers of 6 supporting industries, and economists were interviewed in order to examine the current status of developing supporting industries and attracting FDI for developing supporting industries in Vietnam.

Their identifications and their attributes are summarized as follows: C1, institutions and policies; C2, human resources; C3, infrastructure facilities; C4, domestic supply capability; C5, market size of supporting industries (total consumption of supporting industries’ products); C6, technological development and innovation; C7, international cooperation and competition; and C8, other criteria.

Following the analytical framework, there are candidate solutions for identifying the strategy useful toward attracting FDI and that will eventually develop supporting industries. These include attracting FDI for developing supporting industries, which motivates the economy’s sustainable growth (A1); attracting FDI for developing supporting industries, which increases national competitiveness (A2); and attracting FDI for developing supporting industries, which stimulates the national technological development (A3), respectively. An analytical hierarchy framework based on eight main criteria and three alternatives is established in Figure 1.

Figure 1.

Analytical framework to select a strategy for attracting FDI for Vietnam’s supporting industries.

4.2 Hierarchical analytical process for selection of a strategy attracting FDI

4.2.1 Linguistic variables

This study compares certain pairs of criteria using expressions such as “equally important (EQ),” “moderately important (MO),” “strongly important (ST),” “very strongly important (VS),” and “absolutely important (AB),” using a 5-point Likert-type scale possessing values indicated by actual numbers (see Table 1).

DefinitionIntensity of importance
Equally important (EQ)1
Moderate important (MO)3
Strongly important (ST)5
Very strongly important (VS)7
Absolutely important (AB)9
Intermediate values between two adjacent judgments2, 4, 6, 8

Table 1.

Linguistic terms for priority weights of influential factors to attract FDI.

Additionally, three linguistic variables, namely, “very high (VH),” “high (H),” and “fair (F),” are used to measure the strategy for attracting FDI to develop supporting industries in Vietnam (see Table 2).

DefinitionIntensity of importance
Fair (F)1
High (H)3
Very high (VH)5
Intermediate values use to present compromise2, 4

Table 2.

Linguistic variables for the priority rating of attracting FDI strategy.

4.2.2 Reciprocal additive consistent fuzzy preference relations for prioritizing the evaluation criteria

AHP separates a complex decision issue into elemental problems to produce a hierarchical model. Each of these preference relations necessitates the completion of all nn+12 judgments for a preference matrix containing n elements. To reduce the judgment times, this study employs the reciprocal additive consistent fuzzy preference relation designed by Herrera-Viedma et al. [9] because it requires only n1 judgments from a set of n elements.

The procedures of the reciprocal additive consistent fuzzy preference relations for prioritizing the assessment criteria are given below:

  1. 1. Establish pairwise comparison matrices among all of the criteria Cii=12n in the dimensions of the hierarchy system. The evaluators Ekk=12m provide the more important of each of the pairs of considered criteria for a set of n-1 preference values a12a23an1n, for

Ak=C1C2Cn1CnC1C2Cn1Cn1a12kxxx1a23kxxxx1an1nkxxx1E19

where aijk denotes the preference intensity toward considered criteria i and j, which are assessed by evaluator k; aij=1 indicates no difference between considered criteria i and j; aij=3,5,7,9 reveals that criterion i is relatively important to criterion j; and aij=13,15,17,19 indicates that considered criterion i is less important than criterion j. The sign “x” indicates the remaining aijk, which can be done via inverse comparison.

  1. 2. Transform the preference value aijk into pijk using an interval scale 01, and then derive the remaining pijk based on the reciprocal transitivity property, as follows:

E20

where pij=0.5 indicates no difference between criteria i and j, pij=1 demonstrates that criterion i is absolutely important to criterion j, and pij=0 illustrates that criterion i is absolutely less important to criterion j. The remaining pijk can be calculated using Eqs. (3) and (13), but in an interval a1+a, and a transformation function is required to preserve the reciprocity and additive transitivity. The transformation function is

fpijk=pijk+a1+2aE21

where a denotes the absolute value of the minimum negative value or maximum positive value minus one in this preference matrix.

  1. 3. The study pulled the opinions of evaluators to obtain the aggregated weights of the criteria. Moreover, let pijk denote the transformed fuzzy preference value of evaluator k for assessing the criteria i and j. This study uses the notation of the average value to integrate the judgment values of m evaluators, namely,

pij=pij1+pij2++pijm/mE22

  1. 4. Normalizing the aggregated fuzzy preference relation matrices qij is used to indicate the normalized fuzzy preference values of each considered criteria, such as

qij=pij/i=1npijE23

  1. 5. Using the ϖi denoting the average priority weight of considered criterion i, the priority of each criterion can be obtained, that is,

ϖi=1ni=1nqijE24

where n denotes the number of criteria considered.

4.2.3 Obtaining the synthetic utility value for a strategy attracting FDI with respect to each criterion

The evaluators were asked to express their subjective judgments regarding the preference ratings of a strategy for attracting FDI Arr=12s with respect to each considered criteria in linguistic terms.

  1. 1. For each considered criteria, the evaluators were asked to choose the best among three attracting FDI strategies for a set of s1 preference data o12o23os1s, for example,

E25

where oirtk represents the performance value assigned by evaluator k to attract FDI strategy r and t based on considered criterion i.

  1. 2. Next, the preference value oirtk is transformed within the range 155 into uirtk in an interval scale 01, and the remaining uirtk are obtained via the reciprocal transitivity property as follows:

E26

  1. 3. The opinions of evaluators are then taken to obtain the transformed synthetic rating of the strategy for attracting FDI for each considered criteria uirtk which denotes the transformed fuzzy preference value of evaluator k for assessing strategies for attracting FDI r and t in terms of considered criterion i. This study uses the notation of average value to integrate the judgment values of m evaluators, that is,

uirt=1mj=1muirtkE27

  1. 4. Following the normalization of the synthetic fuzzy preference rating of the strategy for attracting FDI for each considered criteria, αirt is adopted to indicate the normalized rating of the strategies for attracting FDI u and v with respect to considered criterion i, for example,

αirt=uirt/r=1suirtE28

  1. 5. Consequently, β¯ir denotes the average rating of the strategy for attracting FDI r with respect to considered criterion i. The desired rating of each strategy for attracting FDI can be derived for each considered criterion, that is,

β¯ir=1st=1sαrtE29

where s represents the number of the strategy for attracting FDI.

4.2.4 Obtaining the priority weight for selection

A preferred value Ur for developing supporting industries in Vietnam is obtained by multiplying the priority weights of considered criteria by the ratings of the strategy for attracting FDI. That is,

Ur=i=1nβ¯irϖiRu=iuϖiE30

where ϖi denotes the aggregated weight of considered criterion i.

Advertisement

5. Results

This study used six supporting industries in Vietnam to serve as examples to demonstrate the efficacy of the theoretical framework proposed in this study. A total of 22 questionnaires were dispatched and effectively returned, with survey candidates including managers from the Vietnamese Local Industry Department and the Vietnamese Foreign Investment Agency, policy-makers, economists, foreign investors, and managers from representatives of the six supporting industries located in Vietnam.

5.1 Weighting calculation of the evaluating criteria

Eight major evaluation criteria are considered as part of the problem of selecting a strategy for attracting FDI considered herein. The pairwise comparisons for these eight criteria are obtained by means of interviews with the assessment representatives involved in this study.

The following examples clarify the computational process used to derive the priority weights using the reciprocal additive consistent fuzzy preference relation approach:

  1. 1. Based on the interviews taken with the 22 representatives regarding the relative importance of eight aforementioned evaluation criteria, Table 3 lists the pairwise comparison matrices for a set of n1 neighboring criteria a12a23a78 with their corresponding numbers.

  2. 2. The assessment of evaluator 1 (E1) may serve as an example, and it is listed in Table 4. Also listed are the linguistic terms, which are transferrable into corresponding numbers.

  3. 3. Eq. (4) was used to transform the elements (listed in Table 4) into an interval [0, 1], yielding the following values:

p12=1+log99.0000/2=1.0000; p23=1+log95.0000/2=0.8662;p34=1+log90.2500/2=0.1845; p45=1+log97.0000/2=0.8662;
p56=1+log90.3333/2=0.2500; p67=1+log97.0000/2=0.9428;
p78=1+log93.0000/2=0.7500.

The remaining value then can be calculated using Eqs. (3) and (13) with p21, p31, p81, p82, p28, etc., being used as examples:

p21=1p12=11.0000=0.0000;
p31=31+12p12p23=1.51.00000.8662=0.3662;
p81=81+12p12p23p34p45p56p67p78=41.00000.86620.18450.86620.25000.94280.7500=0.8598;
p82=82+12p23p34p45p56p67p78=3.50.86620.18450.86620.25000.94280.7500=0.3598;
p28=1p82=10.3598=1.3598;

The fuzzy preference relation matrix for the eight evaluation criteria assessed by evaluator 1 is established in Table 5.

Table 5 lists p13, p14, p15, p16, p17, p18, p27, p28, p31, p41, p47, p48, p51, p61, p68, p71, p72, p74, p81, p82, p84, and p86 elements but not in the interval [0, 1]; and thus a linear transformation stated in Eq. (21) is employed to ensure the reciprocity and additive transitivity for the preference relation matrix. Table 6 lists the transformation matrix.

  1. 4. Likewise, the above computational procedures can calculate the fuzzy preference relation matrices of the other 21 evaluators; therefore, using Eq. (22), the aggregated pairwise comparison matrix of 22 evaluators can be derived, as listed in Table 7.

  2. 5. Eq. (23) is applied to normalize the aggregated pairwise comparison matrix. Taking q11 as an example:

q11 = 0.5000/(0.5000 + 0.3245 + 0.1859 + 0.3324 + 0.1659 + 0.2172 + 0.0434 + 0.0333) = 0.2774.

E1E2E3E4E5E6E7E8E9E10E11E12E13E14E15E16E17E18E19E20E21E22
C19978396498579759786958C2
C25656254365457437654545C3
C31/41/71/41/61/41/71/11/51/41/6¼1/51/71/51/41/61/51/51/41/61/51/3C4
C45867485487578657875856C5
C51/31/21/41/321/311/211/211/3121/21/311/221/311/3½C6
C67878575687678658876765C7
C7331/2211/21221½32211/3311/2221C8

Table 3.

The linguistic terms into corresponding numbers toward eight factors assessed by evaluators.

E1C1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8
C11.00009.0000xxxxxx
C2x1.00005.0000xxxxx
C3xx1.00000.2500xxxx
C4xxx1.00005.0000xxx
C5xxxx1.00000.3333xx
C6xxxxx1.00007.0000x
C7xxxxxx1.00003.0000
C8xxxxxxx1.0000

Table 4.

Interval pairwise comparisons of the criteria.

Where x is a variable that can be calculated using Eqs. (3) and (13).

E1C1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8
C10.50001.00001.36621.05081.41701.16701.60981.8598
C20.00000.50000.86620.55080.91700.66701.10981.3598
C3−0.36620.13380.50000.18450.55080.30080.74360.9936
C4−0.05080.44920.81550.50000.86620.61621.05901.3090
C5−0.41700.08300.44920.13380.50000.25000.69280.9424
C6−0.16700.33300.69920.38380.75000.50000.94281.1928
C7−0.6098−0.10980.2564−0.05900.30720.05720.50000.7500
C8−0.8598−0.35980.0064−0.30900.0572−0.19280.25000.5000

Table 5.

Consistent fuzzy preference relations matrix of criteria E1.

E1C1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8
C10.50000.68340.81850.70250.83720.74530.90811.0000
C20.31620.50000.63470.51870.65330.56140.72420.8162
C30.18150.36530.50000.38400.51870.42670.58960.6815
C40.29750.48130.61600.50000.63470.54270.70560.7975
C50.16280.34670.48130.36530.50000.40810.57090.6628
C60.25470.43860.57330.45730.59190.50000.66280.7547
C70.09190.27580.41040.29440.42910.33720.50000.5919
C80.00000.18380.31850.20250.33720.24530.40810.5000

Table 6.

The transformation matrix of criteria by linear solution.

EC1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8
C10.50000.67550.81410.66760.83410.78280.95660.9667
C20.32450.50000.63850.49210.65860.60730.78110.7911
C30.18590.36150.50000.35360.52010.46870.64250.6526
C40.33240.50790.64640.50000.66650.61510.78890.7990
C50.16590.34140.47990.33350.50000.44870.62250.6326
C60.21720.39270.53130.38490.55130.50000.67380.6839
C70.04340.21890.35750.21110.37750.32620.50000.5101
C80.03330.20890.34740.20100.36740.31610.48990.5000
Total1.80263.20684.31513.14384.47564.06495.45535.5360

Table 7.

Aggregated pairwise comparison matrices of the 22 evaluators.

The priority weight of each evaluation criterion can then be obtained by Eq. (24). The priority weight and rank of each influence is assessed by 22 evaluators as listed in Table 8.

EC1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8TotalWeightRanking
C10.27740.21070.18870.21240.18640.19260.17540.17461.61800.20221
C20.18000.15590.14800.15650.14720.14940.14320.14291.22310.15293
C30.10320.11270.11590.11250.11620.11530.11780.11790.91140.11395
C40.18440.15840.14980.15900.14890.15130.14460.14431.24080.15512
C50.09200.10650.11120.10610.11170.11040.11410.11430.86630.10836
C60.12050.12250.12310.12240.12320.12300.12350.12350.98180.12274
C70.02410.06830.08280.06710.08440.08020.09170.09210.59070.07387
C80.01850.06510.08050.06390.08210.07780.08980.09030.56800.07108
Total1.00001.00001.00001.00001.00001.00001.00001.00008.00001.0000

Table 8.

Normalized matrix of priority weight and rank of influential factors.

The ranks of the evaluation criteria weights thus are substituted as:

C10.2022>C40.1551>C20.1529>C60.1227>C30.1139>C50.1083>C70.0738>C80.0710.

The results show that the six main assessment attributes are institutions and policies (0.2022), domestic supply capacity (0.1551), human resources (0.1529), technological development and innovation (0.1227), infrastructure facilities (0.1139), and market size of supporting industries (0.1083). Meanwhile, the two least important attributes are international cooperation and competition (0.0738) and other criteria (0.0710).

5.2 Calculation of the weights for a strategy attracting FDI with respect to evaluation criteria

To determine the priority weight matrix for a strategy to attract FDI with respect to each evaluation criterion, Table 2 lists the linguistic variables for evaluators. The priority weights of the three attractive FDI strategies are calculated as follows:

  1. This study examines the implementation of this strategy for attracting FDI for developing supporting industries; the 22 evaluators are interviewed to assess which path is more likely to occur according to each evaluation criteria. Table 9 lists the opinions of these 22 evaluators regarding their preference intensities related to the strategy for attracting FDI with respect to each evaluation criterion, and the linguistic term is assigned into the corresponding numbers.

  2. The study uses this function, pij=121+log5aij, to transform the values in the scale 155 into the interval [0, 1]. Table 10 lists the transformed preference data.

  3. Using Eq. (27), and taking u1rt as an example, the synthetic rating of a strategy for attracting FDI can be obtained (as listed in Table 11), where u1rt represented the transformed fuzzy preference value of 22 evaluators for assessing strategies for r and t for attracting FDI in terms of evaluating criteria 1. Eqs. (28) and (29) can then be employed to normalize and synthesize the fuzzy preference rating of 3 attracting FDI strategies based on eight evaluation criteria. Table 12 lists the normalized values and priority weights, while Table 13 lists the normalized values and priority weights of all of the criteria.

E1E2E3E4E5E6E7E8E9E10E11E12E13E14E15E16E17E18E19E20E21E22
C1A12.00003.00002.00004.00002.00005.00003.00004.00003.00003.00004.00002.00004.00001.00002.00003.00003.00001.00003.00004.00000.50004.0000A2
A20.50001.00000.25002.00000.33330.50001.00002.00000.50002.00000.50001.00001.00002.00001.00000.50001.00000.50000.33330.50001.00000.3333A3
C2A13.00004.00002.00003.00001.00003.00004.00000.50004.00002.00003.00002.00003.00005.00003.00002.00004.00002.00005.00003.00004.00003.0000A2
A21.00000.50001.00001.00000.50000.33330.50001.00000.33330.50001.00000.25000.50002.00001.00000.25002.00000.33330.50001.00002.00000.5000A3
C3A14.00002.00005.00003.00004.00003.00003.00004.00002.00005.00003.00003.00005.00002.00001.00003.00004.00000.50004.00002.00003.00002.0000A2
A22.00000.33330.50001.00002.00000.50002.00000.50001.00003.00000.33330.50000.50000.25000.50000.33330.50001.00000.33330.50001.00000.2500A3
C4A12.00005.00002.00004.00002.00005.00003.00004.00003.00003.00004.00002.00002.00005.00003.00004.00000.50004.00002.00003.00002.00004.0000A2
A20.33330.50000.25002.00000.33330.50001.00002.00000.50002.00000.50001.00000.33330.50000.33000.50001.00000.33330.50001.00000.25002.0000A3
C5A15.00002.00002.00003.00002.00004.00002.00005.00003.00004.00003.00003.00003.00001.00001.00003.00004.00001.00004.00002.00003.00002.0000A2
A22.00000.33330.50001.00000.25002.00000.33330.50001.00002.00000.50002.00001.00000.50000.50000.33330.50001.00000.33330.50001.00000.2500A3
C6A14.00003.00003.00004.00001.00003.00004.00000.50004.00002.00003.00002.00002.00005.00004.00002.00003.00002.00004.00002.00005.00003.0000A2
A22.00000.50002.00000.50000.50000.33000.50001.00000.33330.50001.00000.25000.33330.50000.33330.50001.00000.25002.00000.33330.50001.0000A3
C7A14.00003.00003.00001.00003.00004.00000.50004.00002.00003.00002.00003.00002.00003.00002.00004.00002.00005.00003.00004.00003.00003.0000A2
A20.50000.50001.00000.50000.33330.50001.00000.33330.50001.00000.25001.00000.50001.00000.25002.00000.33330.50001.00002.00000.50002.0000A3
C8A13.00004.00000.50004.00002.00003.00002.00004.00002.00005.00003.00004.00003.00004.00002.00004.00002.00005.00003.00003.00003.00001.0000A2
A20.33330.50001.00000.33000.50001.00000.25002.00000.33330.50001.00002.00000.33330.50000.25002.00000.33330.50001.00000.50001.00000.5000A3

Table 9.

The linguistic term with its corresponding number to the priority weight of three attractive FDI strategies.

E1E2E3E4E5E6E7E8E9E10E11E12E13E14E15E16E17E18E19E20E21E22
C1A10.71530.84130.71530.93070.71531.00000.84130.93070.84130.84130.93070.71530.93070.50000.71530.84130.84130.50000.84130.93070.28470.9307A2
A20.28470.50000.06930.71530.15870.28470.50000.71530.28470.71530.28470.50000.50000.71530.50000.28470.50000.28470.15870.28470.50000.1587A3
C2A10.84130.93070.71530.84130.50000.84130.93070.28470.93070.71530.84130.71530.84131.00000.84130.71530.93070.71531.00000.84130.93070.8413A2
A20.50000.28470.50000.50000.28470.15870.28470.50000.15870.28470.50000.06930.28470.71530.50000.06930.71530.15870.28470.50000.71530.2847A3
C3A10.93070.71531.00000.84130.93070.84130.84130.93070.71531.00000.84130.84131.00000.71530.50000.84130.93070.28470.93070.71530.84130.7153A2
A20.71530.15870.28470.50000.71530.28470.71530.28470.50000.84130.15870.28470.28470.06930.28470.15870.28470.50000.15870.28470.50000.0693A3
C4A10.71531.00000.71530.93070.71531.00000.84130.93070.84130.84130.93070.71530.71531.00000.84130.93070.28470.93070.71530.84130.71530.9307A2
A20.15870.28470.06930.71530.15870.28470.50000.71530.28470.71530.28470.50000.15870.28470.15560.28470.50000.15870.28470.50000.06930.7153A3
C5A11.00000.71530.71530.84130.71530.93070.71531.00000.84130.93070.84130.84130.84130.50000.50000.84130.93070.50000.93070.71530.84130.7153A2
A20.71530.15870.28470.50000.06930.71530.15870.28470.50000.71530.28470.71530.50000.28470.28470.15870.28470.50000.15870.28470.50000.0693A3
C6A10.93070.84130.84130.93070.50000.84130.93070.28470.93070.71530.84130.71530.71531.00000.93070.71530.84130.71530.93070.71531.00000.8413A2
A20.71530.28470.71530.28470.28470.15560.28470.50000.15870.28470.50000.06930.15870.28470.15870.28470.50000.06930.71530.15870.28470.5000A3
C7A10.93070.84130.84130.50000.84130.93070.28470.93070.71530.84130.71530.84130.71530.84130.71530.93070.71531.00000.84130.93070.84130.8413A2
A20.28470.28470.50000.28470.15870.28470.50000.15870.28470.50000.06930.50000.28470.50000.06930.71530.15870.28470.50000.71530.28470.7153A3
C8A10.84130.93070.28470.93070.71530.84130.71530.93070.71531.00000.84130.93070.84130.93070.71530.93070.71531.00000.84130.84130.84130.5000A2
A20.06930.71530.15870.28470.50000.28470.50000.28470.15870.28470.50000.15560.28470.50000.06930.71530.15870.28470.50000.71530.50000.2847A3

Table 10.

The transformed fuzzy preference value of three attractive FDI strategies.

C1A1A2A3
A10.50000.77750.6766
A20.22250.50000.3991
A30.32340.60090.5000
Total1.04591.87841.5757

Table 11.

Aggregated pairwise comparison matrices 22 evaluator of C1.

C1A1A2A3TotalAverage
A10.47810.41390.42941.32140.4405
A20.21270.26620.25330.73220.2441
A30.30920.31990.31730.94640.3155
Total3.00001.0000

Table 12.

Normalized matrix of priority weight of C1.

WeightPriorityWeighted rate
A1A2A3A1A2A3
C10.20220.44050.24410.31550.08910.04940.0638
C20.15290.43960.23330.32710.06720.03570.0500
C30.11390.43780.22920.33300.04990.02610.0379
C40.15510.44270.22380.33350.06870.03470.0517
C50.10830.42900.23670.33430.04650.02560.0362
C60.12270.43180.23360.34460.05300.02740.0423
C70.07380.43660.23210.31120.03220.01710.0245
C80.07100.43540.23470.33990.03090.01600.0241
Total1.00000.43740.23200.3306

Table 13.

Normalized matrix of priority weight of all criteria and preference rate of candidates.

5.3 Weighting the selection priorities

Using Eq. (30), the priority weights of the eight evaluation criteria and the priority ratings of three strategies for attracting FDI are given, in addition to the preference weightings of the candidates. They are listed in Table 13. The preferred weights for the strategy for attracting FDI are calculated as follows:

A1=0.20220.4405+0.15290.4396+0.11390.4378+0.15510.4427+0.10830.4290+0.12270.4318+0.07380.4366+0.07100.4354=0.4374
A2=0.20220.2441+0.15290.2333+0.11390.2292+0.15510.2238+0.10830.2367+0.12270.2236+0.07380.2321+0.07100.2247=0.2320
A3=0.20220.3155+0.15290.3271+0.11390.3330+0.15510.3335+0.10830.3343+0.12270.3446+0.07380.3312+0.07100.3399=0.3306

From Table 13, the ranking of alternative solutions is obtained as follows: Alternative A1 (0.4374) > alternative A3 (0.3306) > alternative A2 (0.2320). Evaluators clearly believe that the best policy for creating and implementing a strategy to attract FDI for developing supporting industries is one that motivates Vietnam’s economy’s sustainable growth.

Advertisement

6. Conclusions

This study interviewed approximately 22 policy-makers, economists, and managers to identify their individual prioritization of the goals and assessment criteria discussed above. Based on the opinions of all survey respondents, the following findings were obtained:

“Institutions and policies” is the most important criterion considered by supporting industries in attracting potential FDI. Because Vietnam has joined the AFTA, the WTO, and the CPTPP, the Vietnamese government must now concentrate on building special policies for the promotion of supporting industries, which will involve legal, institutional, and policy-driven changes and improvements consistent with membership in such global trade organizations.

Domestic supply capacity, human resources, technological development and innovation, infrastructure facilities, and market size of the supporting industries have also received heavier weightings in selecting a strategy for attracting FDI. Notably, international cooperation and competition, along with other outstanding criteria, are not presently taken in terms of seriousness, which will undoubtedly lead to diminished levels of future FDI.

All survey evaluators agreed that “attracting FDI for developing supporting industries, which motivates the economy’s sustainable growth,” is the best strategy to pursue for attracting FDI related to the development of Vietnam’s supporting industries. This is followed by “attracting FDI for developing supporting industries, which stimulates the national technological development.” The statement that ranked last was “attracting FDI for developing supporting industries, which increases national competitiveness.”

The multi-criteria decision-making model for selecting a strategy attractive to FDI presented here is clearly applicable to the evaluation process. The proposed strategy also reveals the concerns and preferences of all supporting industries and main industries. The results of this study provide a valuable reference for the Vietnamese government and policy-makers useful to improve institutions and policies, domestic supply capacity, human resources, technological development and innovation, infrastructure facilities, and assistance to improve the environment for investment. The overall purpose is to better attract FDI that will lead to the development of supporting industries and to select the best strategy for attracting future FDI that will also develop the all-important, requisite supporting industries of Vietnam.

Together, based on these available results, we are continuing to produce future research via a large-scale survey in an effort to select a strategy for better developing supporting industries in Vietnam.

Advertisement

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the reviewers for their constructive comments related to this article.

Advertisement

Conflicts of interest

The author declares no conflict of interest.

Advertisement

Author contributions

Nguyen Xuan Huynh designed the research and methodology. Nguyen Xuan Huynh and Hoang Dinh Phi collected and analyzed the data. Nguyen Xuan Huynh and Hoang Dinh Phi wrote and revised the paper and corrected the final manuscript.

References

  1. 1. VDF, JICA. Survey Compares Context, Policy Measures and Results Developing Supporting Industries in ASEAN. Hanoi: Publisher Transport; 2011
  2. 2. Chau N-V et al. Supporting Industries: Experience from Other Country and Solution for Vietnam. Hanoi, Vietnam: Information and Communication Publisher; 2010. pp. 43-323. (Part 2)
  3. 3. Keller W, Yeaple S. Multinational enterprises international trade and productivity growth: Firm-level evidence from the United States. The Review of Economic and Statistics. 2009;91(4):821-831
  4. 4. Herman E. Implications of aggregate demand on employment: Evidence from the Romanian economy. The Young Economists Journal. 2011;16:132-143
  5. 5. Borensztein E, De Gregorio J, Lee J-W. How does foreign direct investment affect economic growth? Journal of International Economics. 1998;45:115-135
  6. 6. Wang T-C, Wang C-N, Nguyen XH. Evaluating the influence of criteria to attract foreign direct investment to develop supporting industries in Vietnam by utilizing fuzzy preference relations. Sustainability. 2016;8(5):447
  7. 7. Chau N-V et al. The Development Policy of Supporting Industries in Vietnam until 2020: The Report Topic at the State Level. Hanoi: Information and Communication; 2010. pp. 10-42. (Part 1)
  8. 8. General Statistics Office of Vietnam (GSO). Statistical Handbook of Vietnam 2016. Hanoi, Vietnam: Statistics Publishing House; 2016
  9. 9. Herrera-Viedma E, Herrera E, Chiclana F, Luque M. Some issues on consistency of fuzzy preference relations. European Journal of Operational Research. 2004;154:98-109
  10. 10. Chang T-H, Hsu S-C, Wang T-C. A propose model for measuring the aggregative risk degree of implementing an RFID digital campus system with the consistent fuzzy preference relations. Applied Mathematical Modelling. 2013;37:2605-2622
  11. 11. Chang T-H, Wang T-C. Measuring the success possibility of implementing advanced manufacturing technology by utilizing the consistent fuzzy preference relations. Expert Systems with Applications. 2009;36:4313-4320
  12. 12. Chen Y-H, Chao R-J. Supplier selection using consistent fuzzy preference relations. Expert Systems with Applications. 2012;39:3233-3240
  13. 13. Wang T-C, Chang T-H. Forecasting the probability of successful knowledge management by consistent fuzzy preference relations. Expert Systems with Applications. 2007;32:801-813
  14. 14. Wang T-C, Chang T-H. Application of consistent fuzzy preference relations in predicting the success of knowledge management implementation. European Journal of Operational Research. 2007;182:1313-1329
  15. 15. Wang T-C, Chen Y-H. Applying consistent fuzzy preference relations to partnership selection. Omega. 2007;35:384-388
  16. 16. Wang T-C, Lin Y-L. Applying the consistent fuzzy preference relations to select merger strategy for commercial banks in new financial environments. Expert Systems with Applications. 2009;36:7019-7026
  17. 17. Ohno K. The Supporting Industry, some Analyses and Consideration. VDF&GRIPS; 2004 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  18. 18. Ohno K. Supporting in Vietnam from the Perspective of Japanese Manufacturing Firms. VDF&GRIPS; 2006 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  19. 19. The Prime Minister. Approval scheme, Help Developing Small and Medium Enterprises in Supporting Industries Field. No. 1556/QD-TTg. Hanoi, Vietnam: The Prime Minister; 2012 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  20. 20. Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI). Keizai Kyouryoku Hakusho (White Paper on Economic Cooperation). Tokyo, Japan: MITI; 1985
  21. 21. The Prime Minister. On Development Policies of Some Supporting Industries. No. 12/2011/QD-TTg. Hanoi, Vietnam: The Prime Minister; 2011 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  22. 22. The Prime Minister. On Promulgating List of Supporting Industry Products Which Are Given Priority for Development. No. 1843/QĐ-TTg. Hanoi, Vietnam: The Prime Minister; 2011 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  23. 23. Ichikawa K. Building and Strengthening Supporting Industries in Vietnam: A Survey Report. Hanoi, Vietnam: JETRO; 2005
  24. 24. Porter M-E. The Competitive Advantage of Nations. New York: Free Press; 1990
  25. 25. Communist Party of Vietnam. Resolutions of the 12th Congress of the Party of Vietnam. Hanoi, Vietnam: Communist Party of Vietnam; 2016 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  26. 26. Communist Party of Vietnam. Resolutions of the 11th Congress of the Party of Vietnam. Hanoi, Vietnam: Communist Party of Vietnam; 2011 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  27. 27. Communist Party of Vietnam. Resolutions of the 10th Congress of the Party of Vietnam. Hanoi, Vietnam: Communist Party of Vietnam; 2006 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  28. 28. Communist Party of Vietnam. Resolutions of the 9th Congress of the Party of Vietnam. Hanoi, Vietnam: Communist Party of Vietnam; 2001 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  29. 29. The Minister of Industry and Trade. Approving the Planning of Industrial Development Supports up to 2010 and Vision to 2020. No. 34/2007/QD-BCN. Hanoi, Vietnam: The Minister of Industry and Trade; 2007 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  30. 30. The Minister of Industry and Trade. Approval Master Plan for Developing Supporting Industries up to 2020, Vision to 2030. No. 9028/QD-BCT. Hanoi, Vietnam: The Minister of Industry and Trade; 2014 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  31. 31. The Prime Minister. On the Development of Supporting Industries. No. 1111/2015/ND-CP. Hanoi, Vietnam: The Prime Minister; 2015 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  32. 32. The Prime Minister. On the Approving of the Program On Development Of Supporting Industries from 2016 to 2025. No. 68/QD-TTg. Hanoi, Vietnam: The Prime Minister; 2017 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  33. 33. The Prime Minister. Promulgating the Regulation on Management and Implementation of the Program on Development of Supporting Industries. No. 10/2017/QD-TTg. Hanoi, Vietnam: The Prime Minister; 2017 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  34. 34. The Minister of Industry and Trade. Promulgating the Regulation on Formulation, Receipt, Appraisal, Approval and Implementation of Schemes under the Program on Development of Supporting Industries. No. 4572/QD-BCT. Hanoi, Vietnam: The Minister of Industry and Trade; 2017 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  35. 35. Industrial Policy and Strategy Institute. Overall Policy Developing Supporting Industries in Terms of Integration. Industrial Policy and Strategy Institute: Hanoi, Vietnam; 2010
  36. 36. Vietnam Government. Vietnam Government Report: The Implementation of Socio-Economic Development in 2016. Vietnam Government: Hanoi, Vietnam; 2016 [Accessed: 10 April 2018]
  37. 37. Mori J. Development of Supporting Industries for Vietnam’s Industrialization Increasing Positive Vertical Externalities through Collaborative Training. Tufts University, London: The Fletcher School; 2005
  38. 38. Crespo N, Fontoura M-P. Determinant factor of FDI spillovers: What do we really know? World Development. 2007;35(3):410-425
  39. 39. Mihaela K. The relevance of foreign direct investment for sustainable development: Empirical evidence from European Union. Procedia Economics and Finance. 2014;15:1349-1354
  40. 40. Ohno K, Hanoi National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (GRIPS), Vietnam Development Forum (VDF). Building Supporting Industries in Vietnam. Vol. 1. Hanoi, Vietnam: Vietnam Development Forum; 2007
  41. 41. Groh AP, Wich M. Emerging economies’ attraction of foreign direct investment. Emerging Markets Review. 2012;13:210-229
  42. 42. Danciu AR, Strat VA. Factors influencing the choice of the foreign direct investments locations in the Romanian regions. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences. 2014;109:870-874
  43. 43. Center Institute of Economic Management (CIEM). Subcontracting and Outsourcing, Economic Linkage between Large and Small Enterprises: Dispute Settlement and Contract Implementation. Hanoi, Vietnam: Central Institute of Economic Management; 2004
  44. 44. Saaty T-L. Fundamentals of Decision Making and Priority Theory with the AHP. Pittsburgh: RWS Publications; 1994
  45. 45. Saaty T-L. The Analytic Hierarchy Process: Planning, Priority Setting, Resources Allocation. London: McGraw-Hill; 1980

Written By

Nguyen Xuan Huynh and Hoang Dinh Phi

Submitted: 03 September 2019 Reviewed: 14 October 2019 Published: 20 February 2020